Get ready for a great one in Super Bowl LVIII as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the San Francisco 49ers. We have top offensive minds at head coach for both teams, and they also have highly-ranked scoring defenses. But the star power is also significant with Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Travis Kelce, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel.
But which player flying under the radar might steal the show Sunday night? We have a handful of our favorite player props. Be sure to bookmark the player props section on OddsTrader, and we included the top sportsbooks to make these player props for Super Bowl LVIII.
Picks Summary
- Travis Kelce (KC) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125)
- Christian McCaffrey (SF) Over 128.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115)
- Patrick Mahomes (KC) Longest Rushing Attempt Over 12.5 Yards (-110)
- Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Under 62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, February 11, 2024 – 06:30 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium
Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs)
Travis Kelce sure went from “washed” to “maybe the best tight end ever” in a hurry. He only had 3 catches for 16 yards against the Bengals in his regular-season finale, and the Bengals were arguably the worst defense against tight ends in 2023.
But that week off for rest in Week 18 sure seemed to do wonders for Kelce, who also may have been leaving the tank as full as possible for the inevitable playoff run. He has been fantastic in the playoffs with at least 71 yards in every game, and he scored 3 touchdowns against the Bills and Ravens.
The Bills and Ravens each allowed 3 touchdowns to tight ends all regular season. The 49ers did the same, but who can compete with Kelce when he is playing at this level and with Patrick Mahomes throwing to him in a Super Bowl on top of it? Oh, let’s also not forget how great Andy Reid is at coming up with new plays after a bye week. They are going to find creative ways to get their best receiver the ball here.
The Pick
Let’s hope this is like last year’s Super Bowl where Kelce caught a touchdown on the opening drive for the Chiefs against Philadelphia. Just get it out of the way early and enjoy the rest of the show.
Besides, if Taylor Swift is putting in all the effort and money to make it to Vegas from Japan, Kelce better show out and find the end zone at least once for the Chiefs.
NFL Pick: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125) at Bet365
Christian McCaffrey (San Francisco 49ers)
This might be hard to believe, but no running back has won Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis did it for the 1997 Broncos. He earned it the hard way too, overcoming a migraine and a bad John Elway performance to lead Denver to victory with 165 yards from scrimmage and 3 touchdowns.
A running back shouldn’t have to live up to those standards to win an MVP award in the Super Bowl, but no one has really had a good argument since. That can change if Christian McCaffrey has a huge night, especially with the general narrative surrounding Brock Purdy and the lack of trust people have in him.
But this is more about McCaffrey having a nice matchup with a defense he should be able to run on and produce as a receiver. It made no sense why the Ravens gave their running backs just 6 carries in the AFC title game. The 49ers will not make that mistake. McCaffrey will get the ball and he has grinded out 128 and 132 yards from scrimmage in each playoff game this year. He also has 2 touchdowns in each game.
The Pick
Go figure, the line for his yards from scrimmage is 128.5 in this game, but McCaffrey should be good for another 90 on the ground and 40 through the air. Maybe it’s even a 70-60 type of dual-threat night as he can be a dynamic receiver.
No matter how you cut it, he should be able to hit this over and give a real threat to the Super Bowl MVP award if he scores multiple touchdowns again and the team wins the game.
NFL Pick: Christian McCaffrey Over 128.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115) at Bet365
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
Patrick Mahomes’ biggest play in Super Bowl LVII wasn’t a pass. It was his 26-yard run to set up a game-winning field goal for the Chiefs. His longest pass that night was 22 yards, but his 26-yard scramble on a high-ankle sprain was the decisive play in a 38-35 game.
This is just the kind of play we have come to expect from Mahomes in the playoffs, and his legs have been getting a workout in his Super Bowl history:
- He faked an option pitch on the first 1-yard touchdown run of his NFL career against the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.
- He infamously scrambled for 497 yards behind the line of scrimmage against the Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV, facing a Super Bowl-record 29 pass pressures.
- His 26-yard run in Super Bowl LVIII against the Eagles put the Chiefs in winning field goal range, and he finished with 44 rushing yards.
The best news this year is Mahomes is healthy. He had a toe injury going into the 2020 Super Bowl, and he also had the offensive line injuries in front of him. Last year, he had the high-ankle sprain to deal with, and he even aggravated it before halftime well before his big run.
The Pick
This postseason, we have already seen Mahomes have runs of 28 yards against Miami and 24 yards against Buffalo. His longest run was 11 yards against the Ravens, but if he sees an open field, he is taking off in a big game. We’ll trust him to do it again for your NFL picks and break a run of at least 13 yards to hit the over.
NFL Pick: Patrick Mahomes Longest Rushing Attempt Over 12.5 Yards (-110) at Bet365
Brandon Aiyuk (San Francisco 49ers)
Brandon Aiyuk has been a bit quiet these last few weeks. He only played 23 snaps in Week 18 before resting for the playoffs, and he had a season-low 25 yards in that game. You can write that off as a meaningless game.
But against the Packers in the divisional round, Aiyuk only had 3 catches for 32 yards, his lowest total in a game with Brock Purdy at quarterback this season. Against the Lions, Aiyuk was very fortunate to make a 51-yard catch on a deflected pass that should have been intercepted by Detroit. He finished with 68 yards and a touchdown, which also came on that drive with the lucky catch.
But that’s only 6-of-14 targets caught for 100 yards this postseason as the Purdy-to-Aiyuk connection looks a bit rough after being so strong in the regular season.
The Pick
Kansas City is not a great matchup for Aiyuk to get right. The Chiefs have only allowed 11 receivers to go over 62.5 receiving yards this year. Thanks to strong corner play with L’Jarius Sneed and Trent McDuffie, the Chiefs have held the likes of Tyreek Hill (twice), Stefon Diggs (twice), Garrett Wilson, Davante Adams, Keenan Allen, Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson under 62.5 yards this year.
We are going to take the under on Aiyuk and expect the ball to go away from those corners to players like running back Christian McCaffrey, tight end George Kittle and YAC specialist Deebo Samuel.
NFL Pick: Brandon Aiyuk Under 62.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Bet365
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Kansas City Chiefs)
What if Marquez Valdes-Scantling (MVS) was just saving all his best moments for the playoffs? He almost did that last season too when he had a touchdown against the Jaguars in the divisional round, then over 100 yards and another touchdown in the AFC Championship Game against the Bengals.
This year, MVS had that brutal dropped touchdown against the Eagles, but his only other drop of note was in Week 17 against the Bengals when he was looking to turn upfield before securing the ball on a 3rd down.
But Patrick Mahomes has not lost confidence in MVS. He had catches of 32 and 30 yards in Buffalo in the divisional round. Then he put the game away in Baltimore by falling down and completing a 32-yard catch to run out the clock in a 17-10 win.
The Chiefs will live with a couple of mistakes in the regular season if it means some big plays in the postseason. He can be the David Tyree for this team, the receiver known for the Helmet Catch to help the 2007 Giants beat the Patriots in Super Bowl XLII.
The Pick
Someone has to make a big play for the Chiefs. Remember, the biggest play in Super Bowl LIV between these teams was Mahomes finding Tyreek Hill for 44 yards on 3rd-and-15. Who is going to do something like that now with Hill gone?
Last year, MVS burned the 49ers with 111 yards on 3 catches, and 95 of those yards came before the catch. Maybe he is the answer to that question about who will hurt the 49ers this time and help Mahomes and the Chiefs to another championship.
With a line of over 19.5 yards, that is basically 1 play for MVS. Let’s just hope he hangs onto it again.
NFL Pick: Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
