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2025 NBA Playoffs Computer Picks for April 24: Fade The Likely MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder v Grizzlies
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder shoots the ball over Marvin Bagley III #35 of the Memphis Grizzlies. William Purnell/Getty Images/AFP

The AI Model has been on fire recently! Here are three more best bets to consider for tonight’s slate of NBA Playoff games using the Model’s projections.

The Picks

  • Karl-Anthony Towns Under 1.5 Threes (-134) at Caesars Sportsbook
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points (-110) at Bet365
  • Jamal Murray Under 1.5 Steals (-186) at Bet365

New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons

Thursday, April 24, 2025 – 7:00 PM EDT at Little Caesars Arena


The AI Model believes Karl-Anthony Towns will finish with only .864 threes against the Pistons tonight. Meanwhile, you can find his under 1.5 at -134 odds. That’s one of the best plays on the board using the AI Model.

What Happened To Karl-Anthony Towns?

The Knicks got no production from Karl-Anthony Towns in the second half of Game 2 against the Pistons. New York worked their way back from another massive deficit but couldn’t overcome it for the second straight game.

In fact, Towns didn’t even score a bucket for the Knicks in the second half. He’s ultimately hit at least two threes in just two of his last ten games. He’s added no more than one three in any of his previous three games against the Pistons, which were back-to-back-to-back.

The Pistons rank 8th in three-point shooting percentage allowed to centers. Meanwhile, Towns has hit just 30.6% from three over the last ten games. He also hasn’t even made a three in three of his previous five games.

While Towns will improve offensively, it’s still unlikely he’ll shoot it well from downtown. He’s been inconsistent from downtown, and the Pistons are usually solid at defending the three-point ball against centers.

Take Towns to go Under 1.5 threes in tonight’s ball game.

NBA Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Under 1.5 Threes (-134) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Thursday, April 24, 2025 – 9:30 PM EDT at FedExForum


Our AI Model suggests Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will earn only 26.205 points against the Grizzlies tonight. With his total stretched to 31.5, the Under has lots of value.

Fade The Likely MVP!

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had an incredible season with the Thunder. But I’m looking to fade him against the Grizzlies in Game 3.

Gilgeous-Alexander has added at least 32 points in just one of his last five games. He’s also hit this line in just 31% of games against Memphis dating back to December of 2021. Ultimately, Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 32.2 points per game, but he’s only played a total of about 51 minutes in two games against Memphis.

The Thunder are destroying the Grizzlies, and with that. Gilgeous-Alexander has spent a lot of time on the bench. Some suggest Memphis will perform better at home. But after the first two outcomes, it’s hard to imagine any result differing from a blowout for the Thunder.

That said, Memphis ranks 20th in points per game allowed to point guards. It’s actually where Memphis’ defense has thrived the most. They’re the best at defending point guards, even if it doesn’t look like it.

I’ll take Gilgeous-Alexander to go Under 31.5 points tonight.

NBA Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Thursday, April 24, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT Intuit Dome


Our AI Model thinks Jamal Murray will record .743 steals against the Clippers. Meanwhile, his steals total is stuck at 1.5, where the under is just -186. That’s a terrific play and a wager you’ll want to consider.

Jamal Murray Doesn’t Add Many Two-Steal Games!

Jamal Murray of the Nuggets last recorded at least two steals back on March 21. Murray has earned just three steals in his last seven games.

In the two playoff games against the Clippers, Murray added just one steal in each game. Ultimately, the Clippers rank 15th in steals allowed to point guards. But Murray is simply below average in the steals category, earning at least two steals in only 41% of games this season.

Meanwhile, he’s added at least two steals in only 3 of 15 games against the Clippers since late 2021. He’s also added no more than one steal in three consecutive games against the Clippers.

Don’t count on Murray to add two or more steals tonight.

Grab the Under 1.5 steals for Jamal Murray. The AI Model knows.

NBA Pick: Jamal Murray Under 1.5 Steals (-186) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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