We had four games to start the NBA Playoffs yesterday. The eight teams that didn’t play yesterday will compete in the four games today! I’ve added best bets for the three later games of the slate using the AI Model. Check it out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Jaylen Brown Under 5.5 Rebounds (-114) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Jarrett Allen Under 10.5 Rebounds (-108) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Amen Thompson Under 8.5 Rebounds (-135) at Bet365
Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at TD Garden
The AI Model believes Jaylen Brown will record 4.07 rebounds in today’s game for the Celtics. Meanwhile, Brown’s current line is at 5.5 with the under at -114. That’s easily one of the best plays on the board.
Don’t Rely on Jaylen Brown!
Jaylen Brown won’t be on any minutes restrictions ahead of today’s game against the Magic. However, he hasn’t played consistent basketball in a while. He averaged only about 22 minutes per game in his last two games and hasn’t played more than 30 minutes since March 12.
I’d be a bit worried for Brown. Over the last 20 games, he has recorded at least six rebounds in only 40% of games. He’s also added at least six rebounds in just five of 12 games against the Magic dating back to November 2021.
Brown has averaged 6.6 rebounds per game against the Magic, but he’s got four games with nine or more rebounds against Orlando, which has skewed his averages. He’s had way more games with five or fewer rebounds against Orlando in his career since 2021.
The Pick
Let’s ride with Brown to go Under 5.5 rebounds thanks to the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Jaylen Brown Under 5.5 Rebounds (-114) at Caesars Sportsbook
Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT Rocket Arena
Our AI Model suggests Jarrett Allen will only haul in 6.3 rebounds against the Miami Heat tonight. Meanwhile, his rebounds line has reached 10.5, with the Under at only -108. This is an insanely valuable play you’ll want to consider.
Jarrett Allen Always Struggles Against the Heat!
Jarrett Allen is typically a dawg on the glass. However, he’s only added at least 11 rebounds in 43% of games this season. In addition, Allen has earned just 11 rebounds in one of his last five games and in three of his last ten games.
In fact, Allen has recorded at least 11 rebounds in just five of 13 head-to-head matchups against the Cavaliers dating back to December of 2021. This season, Allen has added no more than ten rebounds in any game against the Heat.
Meanwhile, the Heat rank 14th in rebounds allowed to centers but have limited centers to a low amount of offensive rebounds. On the offensive end, centers can sometimes rack up assists off missed tip-ins. But you can earn multiple defensive rebounds on the same possession.
Without some offensive rebounds, it’ll be hard for Allen to add at least 11 rebounds.
The Pick
I’ll take Allen to go Under 10.5 rebounds.
NBA Pick: Jarrett Allen Under 10.5 Rebounds (-108) at Bet365
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT Toyota CenterShape
The AI Model thinks Amen Thompson will grab 6.301 rebounds against the Warriors. Yet, his line is currently at 8.5. Additionally, you can add the Under 8.5 rebounds at -135. That’s a lucrative play.
Amen Thompson Has Struggled On The Glass!
Amen Thompson of the Rockets has added at least eight rebounds in 55% of games this season. However, he’s added at least eight rebounds in just one of his last five games. Additionally, he’ll face a Warriors team that ranks 7th in the NBA in rebounds allowed to small forwards this season.
The Warriors and Rockets played each other on April 6, and Thompson pulled down only six rebounds in 29.3 minutes. However, he did pull down six of nine potential rebounds, which is a very good rate. It’s hard to add 67% of rebounds on potential rebounds in the NBA.
Plus, the Warriors are fundamentally sound on the defensive glass. That’s where they earn their stripes. After all, Golden State ranks 4th in the NBA in defensive rebounds allowed to small forwards this season.
The Pick
I’ll take Thompson to go Under 8.5 rebounds.
NBA Pick: Amen Thompson Under 8.5 Rebounds (-135) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
