We’ve got an exciting four-game slate in the NBA Playoffs tonight. I checked in with the AI Model and found the best three bets for today’s slate. Tune in and follow along below before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Luke Kennard Under 1.5 Threes (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- James Harden Under 9.5 Assists (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Brandin Podziemski Under 6.5 Rebounds (-114) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Saturday, April 26, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at FedExForum
The AI Model thinks Luke Kennard will make only 0.86 three-pointers in today’s game against the Thunder. However, his consensus number is 1.5, with the Under 1.5 at +115. According to our model, that’s a steal.
Kennard Will Play More With Ja Morant Out, But…
Luke Kennard will likely play 30+ minutes in tonight’s game for the Grizzlies. However, when he played 32.9 minutes in Game 3 for Memphis, he still only made one three-pointer in the loss. Kennard has shot just 25.8% from downtown over the last ten games. He’s also added just one game with two threes in the previous ten games.
While Kennard will likely get more shots up, he still only had a 7.9% usage percentage in Game 2, despite playing much, much more. Kennard has struggled from the floor and certainly won’t be the go-to guy for the Grizzlies in a must-win game in the playoffs.
Don’t count on Kennard to drain threes consistently, especially against a Thunder defense that ranks 10th in three-pointers allowed to shooting guards this year.
The Pick
Let’s ride with the AI Model and take Kennard to go Under 1.5 threes at plus-money. That seems like a steal! Thank the AI Model when this one hits.
NBA Pick: Luke Kennard Under 1.5 Threes (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Saturday, April 26, 2025 – 06:00 PM EDT at Intuit Dome
Our AI Model suggests James Harden will finish with 8.1 assists against the Nuggets. Yet, you can find his Under at 9.5, with odds at -130. That’s one of the best plays on the board.
Harden Has Missed This Line Twice In a Row
James Harden has added no more than nine assists in back-to-back games for the Clippers. He’s already facing a Denver defense that ranks 24th in assists allowed to point guards.
That said, Harden has earned 25 potential assists in his last two games against Denver. Yet, his average in the previous ten games is at 13.1. He’s earned a lower amount of potential assists in his last two games than he’s added over the previous ten games. That’s something to think about.
Plus, Harden has added at least ten assists in only 46% of his last 13 head-to-head games against the Nuggets. Harden has actually recorded fewer than nine assists per game against the Nuggets during that time. He’s also managed to hit this line in only 39% of games this season.
The Pick
I’ll fade James Harden and take his Under 9.5 assists prop.
NBA Pick: James Harden Under 9.5 Assists (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
Saturday, April 26, 2025 – 08:30 PM EDT at Chase Center
Our AI Model thinks Brandin Podziemski will earn only 4.7 rebounds in tonight’s game. However, his line is currently at 6.5, with the Under at -114. That’s a terrific play.
Can Brandin Podziemski Brush Off His Terrible Game 2?
Brandin Podziemski has produced fairly well for the Golden State Warriors this season. However, Game 2 wasn’t his night. He scored no points on 0-for-5 shooting in 14 minutes and also added no rebounds or assists in the 15-point loss. Typically, he’ll get nearly 30 minutes of game action, but his play kept him on the bench for most of the game for the Warriors in Game 2.
While the Rockets rank 22nd in the NBA in rebounds allowed to shooting guards, they’ve held Podziemski to just 12 rebound chances in two games. He’s grabbed eight of those 12 rebound chances, which is actually very good. But that’s also likely hard to sustain. Most players won’t grab even 50% of rebound chances per game.
The Pick
Let’s back the Under for Podziemski’s rebounds total. He was a non-factor in Game 2.
NBA Pick: Brandin Podziemski Under 6.5 Rebounds (-114) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
