Yesterday’s NBA games were super exciting. I’ve got a feeling that today’s games will be just as good. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for the best three bets on the slate. Here’s what it came up with for you to win at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 5.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Payton Pritchard Over 9.5 Points (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Bennedict Mathurin Over 9.5 Points (-118) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, April 27, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at Target Center
The AI Model thinks Nickeil Alexander-Walker will score 8.618 points in today’s game against the Lakers. Meanwhile, his current line is just at 5.5, with the over at -110 odds. That’s real value.
Can Nickeil Alexander-Walker Get More Involved?
It’s been two straight games where Nickeil Alexander-Walker has scored just four points. He’s added no more than seven points in all three games of this series. Therefore, his total has dropped to 5.5 points. Ultimately, he’s hit this line in 74% of games this season. He’s also added at least six points in 59% of head-to-head games against the Lakers over the last 17 games.
Plus, he’s added at least six points in seven of his last ten games and 80% of his previous 20 games.
He’s in line to face a Lakers defense that ranks 13th in the NBA in points allowed to shooting guards. The Lakers are near average against shooting guards, and Alexander-Walker has still attempted more than seven shots per game over the last ten games.
If the volume continues, despite his poor shooting, he should still get to at least six points.
The Pick
Ride with Alexander-Walker to score at least six points and thank the AI Model when this ticket cashes in.
NBA Pick: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 5.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic
Sunday, April 27, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Kia Center
Our AI Model believes Payton Pritchard will record nearly 14 points in tonight’s game against the Magic. Meanwhile, his points total is at only 9.5, with the over at +100. With Jrue Holiday out, consider Pritchard to get back on track tonight.
Payton Pritchard Will Get Back On Track
Payton Pritchard still came off the bench for the Boston Celtics when Jrue Holiday was ruled out for Game 3 of the series. While he got 26 minutes, he only scored three points and barely produced on offense. Yet, that’s not typically how he plays.
He’s added at least ten points in 64% of games this season, even with Jrue Holiday available and playing. That said, Holiday has been ruled out again tonight, and that should give Pritchard 25+ minutes again.
He’s facing a Magic defense that ranks 20th in the NBA in points allowed to point guards, which is ultimately Orlando’s worst position to defend. I’ll trust Pritchard to get back on track tonight.
The Pick
Take Pritchard to add at least ten points against the Magic in Game 4.
NBA Pick: Payton Pritchard Over 9.5 Points (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, April 27, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at Fiserv Forum
Our AI Model thinks Bennedict Mathurin will earn 14.0 points in tonight’s game against the Bucks. Yet, you can find his points prop at 9.5 with the over at -118 right now. That’s a steal!
Just Trust Bennedict Mathurin!
The Pacers’ small forward, Bennedict Mathurin, doesn’t get a whole lot of playing time. In fact, he only played 13.7 minutes in Game 3 of this series and was on the court for only 17.1 minutes against the Bucks in Game 2. Still, he’s had a usage percentage of more than 32% when on the floor. When he’s playing, he’s involved offensively and taking shots.
Meanwhile, the Bucks still rank 18th in the NBA in points allowed to small forwards. They’ve fouled small forwards at a high rate and are still below average in points allowed to small forwards.
Mathurin takes advantage of his playing time and is involved in the offense whenever he’s on the floor. He’s added at least 13 points in two of the first three games of this series and should be reliable for another game with at least ten points tonight.
The Pick
Roll with Mathurin to earn at least ten points in tonight’s game.
NBA Pick: Bennedict Mathurin Over 9.5 Points (-118) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
