BETTING

2025 NBA Playoffs Computer Picks for April 29: Fade KAT, Back D-White & Doubt Harden

For the final time this year, we’ve got a slate of 4+ games in the NBA. Let’s enjoy it, but also earn some profit. Using the AI Model, I found the best value on tonight’s NBA Playoff slate. Check it out below.

And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Bucks vs. Pacers and Pistons vs. Knicks games!

The Picks


Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks

Tuesday, April 29, 2025  – 07:30 PM EDT at Madison Square Garden


The AI Model thinks Karl-Anthony Towns will earn just 9.445 rebounds in tonight’s game against the Pistons. However, his total is currently at 10.5, with the Under at -103. There’s value on the Under.

It’s Hard For Towns On The Glass!

Karl-Anthony Towns has been absolutely fantastic for the Knicks in the playoffs. He’s made some big-time shots to put the Knicks up 3-1 in this series.

However, he’s only added more than nine rebounds once in this first-round series. In fact, he’s recorded no more than nine rebounds in each of his last three games against the Pistons.

Ultimately, the Pistons rank 10th in the NBA in rebounds allowed to centers this season. They’ve been able to limit centers to one of the lowest rebounding rates on the offensive glass. As long as the Pistons can keep KAT off the offensive glass, it’ll be hard for Towns to add at least 11 rebounds strictly on the defensive end.

While this game could become a big defensive-minded game, many shots won’t come until the shot clock nearly expires. If that’s the case, there won’t be a ton of opportunities.

Grab Karl-Anthony Towns to go Under 10.5 rebounds tonight.

NBA Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Under 10.5 Rebounds (-103) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics

Tuesday, April 29, 2025  – 08:30 PM EDT at  TD Garden


Our AI Model believes Derrick White will earn 18.003 points against the Orlando Magic. However, you can find his point total at only 15.5 points using Caesars. Consider the Over at -104 odds.

Derrick White Is Super Clutch!

Every championship caliber team has a reliable player like Derrick White.

White has earned at least 16 points in all four games against the Orlando Magic in this series. No matter who is on the floor and healthy, White is out there making plays.

There have been games without Jrue Holiday. He’s also played a game without Jayson Tatum. But no matter what, White is there to save the day.

Over the last ten games, White’s usage percentage has been above 20%. He’s also averaged nearly 13 shots per game and has hit almost 50% of his shots from the field.

In addition, he’s known for his three-point shooting. White has drained 38.4% from three and has attempted about nine shots per game over the last ten games.

Let’s ride with White to add at least 16 points for the fifth consecutive game against the Magic.

NBA Pick: Derrick White Over 15.5 Points (-103) at Caesars Sportsbook


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets

Tuesday, April 29, 2025  – 10:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena


Our AI Model thinks James Harden will record 8.361 assists against the Denver Nuggets in tonight’s late-night showdown. Yet, his total is at 9.5 for assists, with the Under at -125. Consider Harden’s Under tonight.

Harden Hasn’t Been Consistent!

James Harden has added at least ten assists in just one of his last three games. He’s averaged 13.7 potential assists in his last ten games, but he’s added no more than 14 potential assists in five of his last seven games.

Meanwhile, Harden is looking to score a lot. He’s already taken nearly 17 shots per game over the last ten games. He just took the least amount of shots he’s taken in this series against the Nuggets last time out.

Look for Harden to take more shots in tonight’s game, which will limit the number of assists he will have.

Let’s take James Harden to go Under 9.5 assists. He’s added at least ten assists in just 40% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just 40% of his last 20 games.

NBA Pick: James Harden Under 9.5 Assists (-125) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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