There are 16 games on the MLB board tonight, including a double-header between the Cubs and Cardinals. With so many options, we asked the AI Model for its best three bets. Here’s one of the three that you can cash at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Diamondbacks ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, July 13, 2024 – 10:10 PM ET at Chase Field
The AI Model suggests the Arizona Diamondbacks will escape with a 4.6-4.2 win at home against the Toronto Blue Jays. The Diamondbacks are above .500, while the Blue Jays will finish the first half of the season below .500. It all makes sense.
Berrios Looks Awful
If you look at the pitching matchup for this game, you’d probably ride with the Blue Jays, knowing Jose Berrios is on the mound.
However, Berrios hasn’t been anything like his past. In fact, over the last 30 days, he’s allowed a .223 ISO and wOBA of .350 to his last 126 batters. Lefties have destroyed Berrios, and he’s only struck out 18.3% of batters over the previous month.
On the other hand, the Diamondbacks’ projected lineup has hit a .235 ISO and wOBA of .348 against righties over the last month. Arizona has a realistic chance of scoring many runs.
Toronto’s Lineup Isn’t The Same
The Toronto lineup has hit a .154 ISO and wOBA of .334 against righties over the last month. That doesn’t compare to Arizona.
Furthermore, they’re facing Yilber Diaz of the Diamondbacks, who has held his first 23 batters to a .136 ISO and wOBA of .237.
The Pick
Consider the Diamondbacks at -125, thanks to the AI Model. Everything seems to favor Arizona.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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