There are 17 games on the MLB board tonight! Here’s one of the three bets we’ll be rocking with, thanks to our computers’ projections for July 10, with the best MLB odds from top sportsbooks.
The AI Model predicts the Braves will defeat the Diamondbacks, 4.7-3.4. As just -135 favorites on the moneyline, you’ll want to back the favorite according to our AI Model.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
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MLB Pick: Braves ML (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Wednesday, July 10, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Chase Field
Positive Regression Coming For Morton
Over the last 30 days, Charlie Morton has allowed a .326 ISO and wOBA of .417 to his previous 46 righties. However, Morton has only given up 6.5% of walks to righties in the last 30 days and has induced 52.9% of ground balls with only 17.6% of fly balls allowed.
There’s no reason why these stats should push Morton to such a high ISO and wOBA. He’ll improve on these numbers. Yes, even against a red-hot Diamondbacks team against righties.
Even The Braves Can Hit Cecconi
The Atlanta Braves haven’t been the offense of old. But with a matchup against Slade Cecconi, they’ve got potential.
Cecconi has allowed a .214 ISO and wOBA of .446 to his last 45 righties. He’s also given up a .314 wOBA to lefties over the previous 30 days. Typically, he allows a high fly ball rate and a low ground ball rate, which allows for some power.
MLB Computer Pick
Let’s trust the Braves with the much better starting pitcher.
MLB Pick: Braves ML (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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