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BETTING

Braves vs. Phillies MLB Computer Pick: Atlanta Expected to Upset Philly on the Road

Spencer Schwellenbach - Braves v Rockies
Spencer Schwellenbach #56 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on August 11, 2024 in Denver, Colorado. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images/AFP

With 15 games on the slate, the MLB board has plenty of value. Therefore, we asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets of the later portion of the slate. Here’s one of three bets where we found the best MLB odds at top sportsbooks.

The AI Model believes the Braves will earn a 4.5-3.6 victory on the road during ESPN’s night telecast. However, Bet365 is carrying the Braves at +120 and thinks Atlanta is the underdog. Per our model, the value is on the Braves tonight.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick: Braves ML (+120) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Sunday, September 01, 2024 – 07:10 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park


Don’t Sleep On Schwellenbach

The Atlanta Braves didn’t begin the season with Spencer Schwellenbach in the starting rotation. But they’re glad he’s been a part of it most of the year.

Schwellenbach has held his last 120 batters to a .144 ISO and wOBA of .282. He’s also earned over 55% of ground balls and struck out 35% of batters during that time.

Meanwhile, the Phillies’ projected lineup has hit a .154 ISO and wOBA of .301 with 22.5% of strikeouts and 5.7% of walks against righties in the last 30 days. The Phillies don’t have much going for them here.

Nola’s Struggles Will Continue

Aaron Nola will take the mound for Philadelphia. He’s a notable name and typically a fantastic starter. But he’s allowed a .185 ISO and wOBA of .429 to his last 63 lefties. He’s also struck out just 12.7% of those lefties and has allowed them nearly 49% of hard contact.

The Braves best hitter in the lineup is Matt Olson, who has hit a .309 ISO and wOBA of .400 as a lefty against righties over the last month.

Olson should lead the Braves to victory.

MLB COMPUTER PICK

Take the Braves at +120. They’ve got the hotter starter and the better lineup.

MLB Pick: Braves ML (+120) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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