The Chiefs aim to continue their impressive run when they face the Broncos at home. Here’s our preview, which includes a prediction, using the best NFL odds from the top sportsbooks.
NFL Pick: Over 41.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Sunday, November 10, 2024 – 01:00 PM ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Denver Struggled Against Baltimore
Denver was outpaced by Baltimore’s offense, which scored on seven consecutive drives, leading to a 41-10 defeat on Sunday. Nix offered a glimmer of hope with a touchdown reception on a trick play but threw an early interception, and Denver’s defense struggled to keep Baltimore at bay.
Despite holding up early, turnovers on downs and miscues allowed Baltimore to exploit gaps in Denver’s defense, which had previously limited most opponents under 20 points. Nix, though inconsistent, finished with 223 passing yards, breaking Denver’s rookie season passing record.
Chiefs Stay Undefeated
Kansas City’s offense was clutch in a dramatic 30-24 overtime win against the Buccaneers on Monday. Patrick Mahomes, fighting through an ankle issue, threw for 291 yards and three touchdowns, completing all five of his passes on the only drive in overtime. Kareem Hunt provided a strong ground game with 106 rushing yards and sealed the win with a 2-yard touchdown run.
DeAndre Hopkins, making his first home appearance since arriving from Tennessee, posted eight catches for 86 yards and two touchdowns, while Travis Kelce added 100 receiving yards.
Despite missing key players, the Chiefs’ defense held firm, limiting Mayfield to 200 passing yards and the Bucs’ run game to just 95 yards. Their 14th straight win is the longest current streak in the NFL, and Kansas City is now the sixth Super Bowl champion to start the next season 8-0.
Keys to the Game
Nix has shown arm strength and set a new rookie passing record for the Broncos, but his lack of experience has led to costly turnovers. Kansas City’s defense has been adept at forcing errors, and if they can pressure Nix into making hasty decisions, it could be a difficult day for the rookie. However, Nix’s ability to connect on deep shots to receivers like Troy Franklin may keep the Chiefs’ secondary cautious and prevent them from stacking the box.
Hunt enters this game following a strong performance against Tampa Bay and will aim to grind down Denver’s defense, which has shown inconsistency, particularly in high-stakes situations. If Hunt finds lanes and Mahomes stretches the field with the passing game, Hunt’s power running could help Kansas City dominate the time of possession and wear down the Broncos’ defensive front.
Hopkins was a critical factor in the Chiefs’ recent win, proving to be a reliable target and scoring twice. Denver’s secondary will need to contain Hopkins, especially in the red zone, where his presence can be game-changing. If Hopkins can make big plays, the Broncos’ defense may have to overcommit, creating openings for other Kansas City receivers.
Protecting the football will be crucial for Denver in this matchup, especially with Nix under center. Kansas City’s defense has consistently forced turnovers, creating scoring opportunities for Mahomes and company. The Broncos will need to capitalize on any red zone chances they get, as Kansas City has excelled in forcing field goals rather than allowing touchdowns.
NFL Pick
Kansas City is likely to come out strong, with Mahomes utilizing his experience and chemistry with Hopkins and Kelce to put Denver on the defensive early. Nix could have some success with well-designed plays, especially to Franklin, but rookie mistakes may ultimately hinder Denver’s ability to sustain drives.
Kansas City’s balanced attack and Hunt’s effectiveness on the ground give them an edge, especially if they build an early lead.
The Chiefs’ depth and consistency should allow them to control the pace, pulling away as the game progresses. Mahomes’ efficiency and Hunt’s physical running style will likely be too much for the Broncos to contain over four quarters of a high-scoring game.
NFL Pick: Over 41.5 (-110) at Bet365
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