The AI Model has been cooking in the playoffs, so we’ll keep relying on our NBA computer picks. Here is another one of our favorite bets for Monday.
After a convincing 104-84 victory over the Heat, the Celtics lead the Heat 2-1 in the Eastern Conference Series first round. However, the Heat typically respond in these types of moments.
The AI Model has the Celtics and Heat combining for 209 points, but the total is only at 203.5, per the latest NBA odds at the top betting sites. The only way for Miami to keep it close to Boston is by scoring points. The AI Model knows!
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NBA Computer Pick: Over 203.5 (-110) at Bet365
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
Monday, April 29, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center
Remember When The Heat Won?
Remember when everyone was stunned that the Heat beat the Celtics on the road in Game 2? It wasn’t because of their defensive effort. It was because of their offensive output.
In Game 2, the Heat scored 122 points per 100 possessions and added a 64.7% effective field goal percentage. If you think the Heat have a legitimate chance at winning Game 4, the game will likely have to get Over the total. It’s the safer wager.
The Celtics Keep Scoring
The Celtics continue to be one of the best offenses in the NBA. Boston has scored at least 101 points in each game of the series. Meanwhile, we’ve seen at least one team score 104 points in each game.
NBA Computer Pick
Now we just need both teams to have solid offensive outputs like in Game 2. It’s very likely. The Heat have experience in the postseason and are well-coached. They typically come back with adjustments in the following game after a loss and play well.
Therefore, consider the Over 203.5 in Game 4 of this Celtics-Heat series.
NBA Computer Pick: Over 203.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
