The college basketball card is smaller than usual. However, there are still some value plays per our computer predictions. Here are three bets that you should consider for tonight’s college basketball slate.
Picks Summary
- Hofstra +15.5 (-110) at Unibet
- Bryant-Cincinnati Under 152 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Cal Baptist-Oregon Over 136 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Hofstra Pride vs. Duke Blue Devils
Tuesday, December 12, 2023 – 07:00 PM ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium
Our AI Model believes Hofstra will only lose to Duke 81-70. With the Pride sitting at +15.5, the value is on the visiting team in this one.
The Duke Blue Devils already have three losses this season. That wasn’t common for Duke back in the day. They are still really good, though. They’ve shot 35.4% from three and 54.6% from inside the arc while limiting turnovers to 12.9%. However, Duke isn’t dominating the offensive glass and likely won’t get to the foul line at a super high rate against Hofstra.
Hofstra’s Efficient Scoring
Hofstra won’t dominate the offensive glass, either. However, Hofstra has shot a higher effective field goal percentage of 55.7%. The Pride has hit 37.9% from deep and 54.7% from inside. And when the Pride get to the line, they make their shots, hitting 81% from the foul line this season.
Hofstra won’t shoot themselves in the foot. When the Pride gets good looks, they capitalize. That’s why I’ll back the Pride at +15.5 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Hofstra +15.5 (-110) at Unibet
Bryant University Bulldogs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Tuesday, December 12, 2023 – 07:00 PM ET at Fifth Third Arena
Our AI Model believes the Bryant Bulldogs and Cincinnati Bearcats will combine for 145 points. That wouldn’t be enough for the total that is currently sitting at 152. The Under looks to be the play.
The Bryant Bulldogs just lost to Stony Brook with another mediocre offensive performance. The Bulldogs have an adjusted efficiency of 97.5 on offense, which is 306th in college basketball. They have shot an effective field goal percentage of 47.1% and earned only 19.1% of offensive rebounds.
With the Cincinnati Bearcats giving up only 21% of offensive rebounds, it’s clear that Bryant will struggle on the glass to earn second chances.
Bryant also isn’t getting to the line at a high rate. Beyond that, the Bulldogs have shot just 30.7% from three and 47.8% from inside. Bryant can’t even shoot at a good percentage from the foul line.
Cincinnati’s Offense vs. Bryant’s Defense
On the other hand, Cincinnati’s a terrific offense. They’re going to dominate the offensive glass and limit turnovers. However, Bryant has still limited teams to a 43.7% effective field goal percentage. That’s 15th-best in the nation. Opponents have shot just 29.2% from three and 43.7% from inside the arc against Bryant.
Therefore, I’ll back the Under at -110 betting odds in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Under 152 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
California Baptist Lancers vs. Oregon Ducks
Tuesday, December 12, 2023 – 10:00 PM ET at Matthew Knight Arena
The AI Model suggests Oregon and California Baptist will combine for 145 points in tonight’s late-night game. With the total sitting at 136 on Caesars, the Over has a lot of potential.
The California Baptist Lancers have been an above-average offense to begin the year. They have shot a 50% effective field goal percentage despite shooting only 47.7% from inside the arc. That’s because the Lancers have hit 35.9% from deep and continue to get to the foul line at a very high rate.
Although the Lancers have shot only 66.7% from the foul line, California Baptist is getting to the line at a very high rate that ranks 42nd in college basketball. They have also added 35.7% of offensive rebounds and turn the ball over only 16.5% of the time.
With Oregon allowing teams to shoot 33.5% from deep and fouling teams at a significant rate, California Baptist should be able to put a solid amount of points up on Oregon in this game.
Oregon’s Efficient Offense
On the other hand, Oregon’s offense is 33rd in the nation in adjusted efficiency. The Ducks have shot 37.6% from deep and 52.9% from inside the arc. They’re also getting to the foul line at a high rate, despite shooting at a poor percentage from the charity stripe.
Like California Baptist, the Ducks don’t turn the ball over often and have shot a 54.1% effective field goal percentage. With the Lancers allowing 33.7% from downtown and rarely earning steals and blocks, the Ducks should have an efficient night offensively.
I agree with the AI Model. Back the Over.
NCAAB Pick: Over 136 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
