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College Basketball Computer Picks for December 13: Creighton’s Offense Set to Soar Against UNLV

Steven Ashworth Creighton Bluejays v Nebraska Cornhuskers
Guard Steven Ashworth #1 of the Creighton Bluejays scores against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Steven Branscombe/Getty Images/AFP

We don’t have much conference play yet. However, there are still a few intriguing non-conference matchups on the college basketball slate tonight. Here are three bets that the AI Model likes for tonight.

Picks Summary

  • Florida International-Florida Atlantic Over 154 (-110)
  • Chicago State-Northwestern Over 133.5 (-110)
  • Creighton -14 (-110)

*All odds from at BetRivers (check our BetRivers Review)


Florida International Panthers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

Wednesday, December 13, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena


Our AI Model believes Florida Atlantic and Florida International will combine for 157 points. With the total currently at 154 at BetRivers, the Over 154 is the play.

The Florida Atlantic Owls just lost a massive game to Illinois on a neutral court on December 5th. But they’ve had a whole week to reflect.

They’ll take on the FIU Panthers at home, hoping to explode offensively – they should. The Owls have shot an effective field goal percentage of 57.9, shooting 38.5% from three and 58% from inside the arc. With FIU allowing a 54.9% effective field goal percentage and 38.1% offensive rebounds, it’s likely that the Owls have a field day offensively.

On the other hand, the Panthers aren’t doing anything significant offensively. However, Florida International still has a 50.1% effective field goal percentage as they’ve shot 53.6% from inside the arc.

The Pick

Still, the Owls will do most of the scoring. But I like Florida International to at least score enough to help get this game Over the total. The Panthers can still earn some second-chance points on the offensive glass.

Take the Over at -110 betting odds. The AI Model is onto something!

NCAAB Pick: Over 154 (-110) at BetRivers


Chicago State Cougars vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Wednesday, December 13, 2023 – 08:00 PM EDT at Welsh-Ryan Arena


The AI Model suggests Northwestern and Chicago State will combine for 145 points. The total is only at 133.5 on BetRivers. Therefore, the Over has the most value in this game.

The Chicago State Cougars will take on the Northwestern Wildcats in a buy game tonight. Chicago State has just three wins this season. The best win of the year came against Stetson at home, 77-54. However, the Cougars are still 3-9 on the season.

The offense isn’t very good. They’ve shot 27.6% from three and 47.6% from inside the arc. However, the Cougars still get to the foul line at a high rate. That stands out because Northwestern fouls at a high rate. So while Chicago State won’t shoot at a high rate, they can earn points at the foul line with the time stopped.

On the other hand, Northwestern is fourth in the country in turnover percentage. The Wildcats will be strong with the ball and limit turnovers. They’ve shot 35.5% from deep and 53.8% from inside the arc this season. That’s helped them shoot an effective field goal percentage of 53.6% this season.

The Pick

With Chicago State allowing a 53.7% effective field goal percentage, it’s clear that Northwestern will get a ton of good looks, along with second chances. After all, Chicago State has also allowed 33.2% of offensive rebounds while giving up a field goal percentage of 58.3% inside the arc.

Let’s back the Over in this one.

NCAAB Pick: Over 133.5 (-110) at BetRivers


Creighton Bluejays vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels

Wednesday, December 13, 2023 – 09:00 PM EDT at Dollar Loan Center


Our AI Model believes Creighton will earn a 17-point win over UNLV. With Creighton sitting at -14 against the spread, the Bluejays have value tonight.

In the Jack Jones Classic, Creighton will take on UNLV in Henderson, Nevada.

The Creighton Blue Jays are one of the best teams in college basketball. They’re a legitimate contender for a National Championship this season. The offense has shot an effective field goal percentage of 61.5%, while the defense has held teams to a 43.5% effective field goal percentage. Creighton’s got some of the best shotmakers in college basketball. They’ve nailed 40.2% from three and 62.7% from inside the arc.

With UNLV giving up 40.9% from deep and 52.6% from inside, it’s very likely that Creighton will dominate even more offensively tonight.

On the other hand, the Bluejays are still very efficient defensively. Opponents have only grabbed 21.4% of offensive rebounds against them.

Creighton is also extremely good at keeping teams off the foul line. Opponents have shot just 27.7% from three and 44.1% from inside the arc this season against Creighton.

The Pick

It’s going to be very difficult to beat Creighton consistently this season. I’m with the AI Model. Grab Creighton against the spread.

NCAAB Pick: Creighton -14 (-110) at BetRivers

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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