The AI Model predicts the Mariners‘ defeat of the Cubs, 4-3, in today’s series finale.
Despite Luis Castillo’s recent struggles, the model is still backing Seattle to win so let’s break down the MLB odds at the top betting sites.
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MLB Pick: Mariners ML (-140) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
Sunday, April 14, 2024 – 04:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park
Bounceback Time For Luis Castillo
The Cubs tied the series at one and will look to finish off the Mariners on the road for the series win. However, it’s unlikely the Cubs will win this game.
The Cubs are pitching Javier Assad, who has been awful against lefties to begin the year. The right-handed pitcher has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .412, with 22.2% of grounders and 44.4% of fly balls allowed to lefties this season.
The Mariners have premium lefties like JP Crawford, Jorge Polanco, Cal Raleigh and Dominic Canzone, who could all do damage to Asaad.
Luis Castillo
On the other hand, it’ll be Luis Castillo for the Mariners. While he’s 0-3 with an ERA near 7.00, Castillo has still earned 43.4% of grounders and has given up just 15.1% of fly balls. He’s even added 24% of strikeouts and has limited walks to 4%.
He’s only going to get better from here.
MLB Computer Pick
Plus, the Cubs have three batters striking out at least 24% of the time against righties. The lineup has also hit just a .167 ISO since last season against righties.
Let’s take the Mariners on the moneyline for this one.
MLB Pick: Mariners ML (-140) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
