The New York Yankees prevailed in Game 4 of the 2024 World Series to extend the series to five games. The Yankees are still down 3-1 in the series against the Los Angeles Dodgers but have another home game tonight.
In addition to having another home game, they’ll pitch former Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole. The Yankees have some momentum heading into this game.
The AI Model also believes the Yankees will win outright. New York is projected to earn a 3.7-3.5 win over the Dodgers tonight. The Yankees are -150 on the moneyline, and the total is stuck at 8.
Therefore, the Yankees and the Under is the play when looking at the AI Model projections.
Picks Summary
- Yankees ML (-150)
- Under 8 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Wednesday, October 30, 2024 – 08:08 PM ET at Yankee Stadium
Jack Flaherty’s Second Start
The Dodgers will send out Jack Flaherty to potentially finish off the series. Flaherty was sensational in Game 1 of this series and will now get the ball for Game 5 in a potential series-clinching game.
Flaherty has only struck out 15.7% of batters over the last 30 days. He’s also allowed a .225 ISO and wOBA of .350. After all, he’s been inconsistent on the mound.
Go back to the NLCS. Flaherty pitched very well in Game 1 of the series but saw a velocity dip in Game 5 and didn’t look nearly as good. In fact, the Mets shelled him after seeing him for the second time.
The Yankees are capable of doing the same. New York’s projected lineup has an ISO of .172 with plenty of power potential in the lineup. Aaron Judge certainly hasn’t shown up, but this is a good matchup for him against Flaherty.
Flaherty has allowed a .302 ISO and wOBA of .358 to his last 47 righties. He’s also given up 62.5% of hard contact and over 34% of fly balls.
While the Yankees won’t dominate and load up the bases every innings, there’s a good chance they’ll hit for some power.
Can The Yankees Make This a Series?
The Yankees fell to 3-0 in the World Series but clinched Game 4 and now have some hope. The Yankees will pitch Gerrit Cole, who is certainly the better pitcher in this matchup.
Cole isn’t getting a super high amount of strikeouts this year. However, he’s still held his last 94 batters to a .106 ISO and wOBA of .298.
Some of his other metrics aren’t as good. He’s still allowed more than 30% of line drives in the last 30 days and has induced below 24% of ground balls. There’s lots of room for improvement. But he’s kept walks down and has limited his wOBA. That’s the most important.
On the other hand, the Dodgers are an incredibly difficult team to pitch against. The lineup is filled with quality batters who rarely strike out. Cole will give up a lot of fly balls and maybe one or two get out of the ballpark.
But he’ll minimize damage when he has to and put the Yankees in position to win this game.
MLB Computer Pick
The Dodgers’ lineup has performed much better than the Yankees’ has. The Dodgers also have a bullpen where its best arms had last night off. They’re well-rested while the Yankees’ arms aren’t.
Gerrit Cole will be asked to pitch very deep in this game. New York is trusting their former Cy Young winner to step up in a big spot.
I, along with the model, think he will. Cole is made for these moments and showed up in Game 1 of the World Series. Yes, the Yankees ended up losing that game, but he pitched extremely well on the road in a tough spot.
Therefore, you’ll want to consider backing the Yankees at -150 MLB odds and the Under 8 in this game. New York just needs to show off a little power against Flaherty and kick out of the game for the other bullpen arms the Dodgers have.
The AI Model likes a Game 6 in Los Angeles and after looking over the analytics, so do I.
MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-150) at Bet365
MLB Pick: Under 8 (-110) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
