All of the No. 1 seeds made the Final Four for the first time in a decade. While there were no real Cinderellas in this year’s tournament, the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games were super exciting and close most of the time. Expect that in Saturday’s Final Four college basketball slate.
I asked the AI Model for its best bets on both games. Here’s what it came up with.
NCAAB Pick: Florida -2.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Check out another top pick for Saturday:
Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers
Saturday, April 05, 2025 – 06:09 PM EDT at Alamodome
Florida Will Be Fine!
Remember when Florida beat Auburn on the road back on February 8 and took control for the final 30 minutes of that game? The Gators won 90-81 in Neville Arena behind Walter Clayton’s 19 points. But he wasn’t alone.
Alex Condon scored 17, and Thomas Haugh scored 16 in the win.
Meanwhile, Auburn got 22 points from Miles Kelly and another 18 from Johni Broome. But overall, the Tigers hit only 47.9% from inside the arc and 31.8% from deep.
The Gators won’t force many turnovers in this Final Four game. Ultimately, Florida has added only 16.6% of turnovers, and Auburn has done very well in keeping turnovers down. Still, the Gators have limited teams to 29.6% from deep and 46.2% from inside the arc.
They’ve also allowed only 29% of offensive rebounds and are good at keeping teams off the foul line.
Will Florida Win This Game At The Foul Line?
The Florida Gators have shot the same effective field goal percentage as Auburn this season. That said, the Gators have earned 38.9% of offensive rebounds and should be more aggressive to get to the foul line.
Auburn has allowed 29.5% of offensive rebounds. The Tigers’ FTA/FGA ratio is 38.2, which is 304th in the nation.
You can expect the Gators to win the rebounding battle and free throw battle. Those are two very important areas in this game.
The Pick
The Gators have lost just one game since February 1. On the other hand, Auburn has lost four games, including one to Florida, who they’re playing in the Final Four.
It’s exciting to know we’ll have at least one SEC team in the National Championship game. But all analytics and numbers point to Florida being that team.
Take the Gators at -2.5.
NCAAB Pick: Florida -2.5 (-110) at Bet365
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