The Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees have opportunities to move on into the ALCS with a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals will look to live another day, down 2-1 in their best-of-five series.
That said, I checked the AI Model and looked for its favorite pick to consider at top-rated sportsbooks.Â
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Guardians ML (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Thursday, October 10, 2024 – 06:08 PM ET at Comerica Park
Tigers Still Undecided
The Detroit Tigers haven’t decided on a starter for Game 4. Despite being 2-1 in the series, they don’t have a reliable starter ready to go. However, all signs point to Reese Olson getting the opportunity. He is a righty who has allowed a .286 ISO and wOBA of .312 to his last 22 righties. He’s also struck out below 22% of batters and has given up 50% of hard contact over the last 30 days.
Olson has consistently been good this season otherwise, but he’ll be on a short leash. The Guardians will be aggressive at the plate and just a couple of mistakes could ruin the entire game for the Tigers.
After all, the Guardians have still hit a .162 ISO against righties over the last 30 days using the projected lineup and rarely walk. The Guardians are up there looking to swing.
Detroit’s Strikeouts Could Pile Up
The Tigers’ projected lineup has struck out 27% of the time against righties over the last month. This team is earning a higher amount of walks but has hit just a .153 ISO over the last month against righties.
They’ll take on Tanner Bibee of the Guardians, who has struck out nearly 28% of batters in the last 30 days. He’s also held his last 98 batters to a .144 ISO and wOBA of .298 thanks to allowing just 22.2% of fly balls over the last month.
Bibee will likely pitch deeper into the game and has more strikeout potential that could get him out of jams if he ever gets into one.
The Pick
Let’s back the Guardians at -120 to force a Game 5 in Cleveland.
MLB Pick: Guardians ML (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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