Taking a look at our AI Model, I’ve added three of my favorite plays for today’s MLB slate, with the best betting odds we could find at the top sportsbooks. Here’s one of the three below.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick: Mets ML (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
Sunday, June 23, 2024 – 7:00 PM ET at Wrigley Field
Severino’s Strikeouts Will Increase
It’s hard to believe Luis Severino’s strikeout rate is at just 17.3% this season. Over the last 30 days, that strikeout rate has dipped to 12.8%.
Yet, he’s still held teams to a .116 ISO and wOBA of .294 with nearly 45% of grounders and just 6% of walks. He’s been good despite the low strikeouts.
Tonight, he’ll take on a Cubs lineup that has struck out 24.1% of the time against righties. Don’t be surprised if Severino’s strikeout rate increases against this Chicago lineup that has seven targets with his strikeouts.
Right-Handed Power
The Mets have some really good right-handed power against right-handed pitching. The two big names that come to mind are J.D. Martinez and Pete Alonso. Both have hit an ISO of at least .200 over the last 30 days against righties.
Meanwhile, they’ll face Javier Assad of the Cubs, who has allowed a .300 ISO and wOBA of .504 to his last 46 righties.
MLB Computer Pick
The Mets’ righties have way more potential in this game. Back the Mets at -105.
MLB Pick: Mets ML (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
