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BETTING

Mets vs. Padres MLB Computer Pick: NY Eyes Late Edge Over SD

Jesse Winker New York Mets v San Diego Padres
Jesse Winker #3 of the New York Mets celebrates after hitting an RBI double against the San Diego Padres. Denis Poroy/Getty Images/AFP

The AI Model has given us three bets you’ll want to consider for tonight’s MLB slate. Here’s one of the three bets that the Model likes, with the best MLB odds from the top sportsbooks.

The AI Model projects the Mets will add a 4.1-3.7 victory on the road tonight. New York is a +130 underdog, but the model thinks the Mets will win outright. The value is all over New York.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick: Mets ML (+130) at Caesars Sportsbook


New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Saturday, August 24, 2024 – 08:40 PM ET at Petco Park


David Peterson’s Underrated Season

The Mets will throw David Peterson. He’s a lefty who doesn’t get enough love. After all, he’s faced 335 batters this season and has held those hitters to a .120 ISO with 53.9% of ground balls induced.

Ultimately, over the last month, he’s held his previous 121 batters to a .263 wOBA.

He’ll take on a Padres lineup that doesn’t strike out. However, the projected lineup has only hit a .175 ISO and wOBA of .316. These are average numbers at best.

Michael King’s Dominance

The Padres will counter with Michael King. King has been just as good as Peterson, if not better. He’s held his last 95 batters to a .070 ISO and wOBA of .264 with 33.7% of strikeouts.

The Mets will strike out at a high rate against King. However, they had a solid plan against Dylan Cease in Game 1 and could bring that same game plan against King in Game 3.

MLB Computer Pick

In a tight game, the AI Model and I both agree that the Mets should be able to pull this game out at the end.

MLB Pick: Mets ML (+130) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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