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BETTING

MLB Computer Picks for April 16: Fade Semien Tonight

We’ve got another full baseball slate on the horizon throughout the day. I used the AI Model to find some of the best value on the board. Check out the best three bets using the AI Model below.

And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Cubs vs. Padres and Nationals vs. Pirates games!

The Picks

  • Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 Total Bases (-165) at Bet365
  • Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Bet365
  • Rockies-Dodgers Over 8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Wednesday, April 16, 2025 – 7:40 PM EDT at Rate Field


Our AI Model predicts Tyler Soderstrom will earn 1.213 total bases in tonight’s game against the White Sox. Yet, his Over .5 total bases line is just at -165. That’s a steal, according to the AI Model.

Tyler Soderstrom Is Elite!

Tyler Soderstrom is one of the best hitters in the MLB to start the season. He’s added a .396 ISO and wOBA of .473 with 17.9% of strikeouts against righties this season.

The lefty has hit 31.6% of fly balls and 52.6% of hard contact with a 21.1% barrel percentage. He’s turning into an absolute stud for the Athletics.

Meanwhile, he’s in line to face Jonathan Cannon of the White Sox. Cannon is a righty who has allowed a .278 ISO and wOBA of .399. In addition, Cannon has allowed 42.3% of fly balls and 46.2% of hard contact to righties. He’s also falling below counts a lot, as he’s walked 13.6% of batters this season.

Soderstrom should be able to take advantage

Ride with the AI Model and back Tyler Soderstrom to earn at least one total base in tonight’s ball game.

MLB Pick: Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 Total Bases (-165) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Wednesday, April 16, 2025 – 8:05 PM EDT at Globe Life Field


The AI Model projects Marcus Semien will add only .624 total bases in tonight’s game against the Los Angeles Angels. However, his consensus line is at 1.5. Therefore, the Under is the play.

Can Jose Soriano Sustain Success Against Righties?

The Angels are getting solid pitching out of Jose Soriano this season. He’s held righties to a .032 ISO and wOBA of .161 with 73.7% of ground balls.

Even last year, Soriano added 62.2% of ground balls and gave up just 15.7% of fly balls.

Dating back to last year, Marcus Semien struck out only 14.9% of the time against righties. However, he’s hit a .287 wOBA since that time, including more than 41% of ground balls against righties.

Semien has also added just a 5.3% barrel percentage against righties.

I like Soriano to find success against Semien in tonight’s game. Take Semien’s Under at -160 MLB odds.

MLB Pick: Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Bet365


Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Wednesday, April 16, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium


The AI Model believes the Dodgers and Rockies will combine for nine runs in tonight’s showdown. Meanwhile, the total is stuck at 8.5 at Caesars. Consider the Over in this late-night ball game.

Is German Marquez Trustable?

The Colorado Rockies will pitch German Marquez, who barely pitched at all last season due to injury.

This season, Marquez has struck out 14.7% of batters and has allowed 10.3% of walks. He’s also given up a .318 wOBA to 68 batters this season.

Meanwhile, he’s in line to face a Dodgers lineup that has already hit a .229 ISO and wOBA of .369 against righties this season. Only Will Smith and Max Muncy have low ISO numbers against righties. Yet, Smith just hit a home run last night, so he’s coming around.

Bobby Miller Won’t Be Any Better?

The Dodgers will roll with Bobby Miller on the mound tonight. Miller is a righty who allowed a .265 ISO and wOBA of .417 to 259 batters last season.

He’ll get his first crack at it this year, but if he’s anything like last season, the Dodgers will be in trouble.

Ultimately, the Rockies have struggled offensively, but no team really struggled against Miller last season.

Let’s back the Over 8.5 in this game.

MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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