While there are many day games today, I looked at some of the best value for tonight’s slate of games using our AI Model. Take a look at the best value on player props below.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Mariners vs. Red Sox and Rockies vs. Royals games!
The Picks
- Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Total Bases (+155)
- Joey Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits (+135)
- Jake Burger Under 0.5 Hits (+175)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Wednesday, April 23, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model believes Gabriel Moreno will only add .487 total bases in tonight’s game. Yet, his consensus line is at .5, with the under at +155. We’re going to want to take that.
Gabriel Moreno Is The Weakest Link!
The Arizona Diamondbacks have absolutely smoked right-handed pitching this season. The team has added a .249 ISO and wOBA of .370 against righties as a projected lineup.
However, Gabriel Moreno is the only hitter who has put up weak stats against righties in this lineup.
He’s hit a .026 ISO and wOBA of .285 with more than 43% of ground balls hit. He’s also added a 0.0% barrel percentage against righties this season.
Moreno and the Diamondbacks are in line to face Taj Bradley. Bradley has struck out 23.4% of righties and has allowed just a .150 ISO.
Bradley certainly hasn’t been perfect, but of the Diamondbacks’ hitters, Moreno should be the easiest to get out of.
Consider backing Moreno to go under .5 total bases at +155. That’s some really good value, thank the AI Model for alerting us!
MLB Pick: Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Total Bases (+155) at Bet365
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, April 23, 2025 – 9:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts Joey Ortiz will add .535 hits in tonight’s game against the Giants. However, while his line is at .5 hits, the under is juiced to +135. There’s legitimate value on backing Ortiz to go Under .5 hits at +135.
Joey Ortiz Is Struggling!
Joey Ortiz has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .207 against his first 50 batters. He’s shown no power against righties this season and isn’t even getting on base, despite putting the ball in play.
That’s because he’s hit only 37.8% of hard contact with a 0.0% barrel percentage against righties this season.
Meanwhile, he’ll face Logan Webb of the Giants, who has limited righties to a .097 ISO and wOBA of .266. Webb has also issued 56.4% of ground balls and has held righties to 15.4% of fly balls. He’s also struck out 34.8% of righties this season.
Webb has been an ace for the Giants this year. He looks like one of the best pitchers in baseball. Therefore, it’s highly unlikely Ortiz breaks out against a pitcher like Webb.
Grab Ortiz to go under .5 hits in tonight’s ball game at +135.
MLB Pick: Joey Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits (+135) at Bet365
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
Wednesday, April 23, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model projects Jake Burger will add .597 hits tonight. However, while the consensus line is stuck at .5, you can find his under .5 hits at +175. That’s a +EV bet using our AI Model.
Will Jake Burger Stay Hot Against Lefties?
Jake Burger has hit a .300 ISO and wOBA of .335 with only 8.3% of strikeouts against left-handed pitching this season.
The right-handed first baseman has a ton of power. But last season, he hit a .289 wOBA with 25.1% of strikeouts against lefties.
It’s unlikely he’ll be able to sustain this type of success.
Plus, he’s in line to battle JP Sears of the Athletics. Sears, a left-handed pitcher, has limited 86 righties to a .138 ISO and wOBA of .275 this season. Sears isn’t falling behind against righties. He’s also limited righties to 16.9% of line drives.
He should fare well against Burger tonight, so roll with Burger to go Under .5 hits at +175 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Jake Burger Under 0.5 Hits (+175) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
