With a full 15-game slate on the horizon, I checked with the AI Model to find the best three bets for tonight’s slate of games. Let’s get after it!
The Picks
- Jacob Amaya Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+114) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Justin Verlander Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-158) at Bet365
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics
Friday, April 25, 2025 -10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model thinks Jacob Amaya will earn just .204 total bases in tonight’s game against the Athletics. Yet, his under .5 total bases is at -120. There’s so much value with this bet.
Jacob Amaya Is Struggling!
The Chicago White Sox shortstop has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .090 against his first 35 right-handed pitchers this season.
He’s currently batting ninth for the White Sox and has hit nearly 52% of grounders with only 11.1% of line drives.
Beyond that, Amaya has hit only 14.8% of hard contact and has a 0.0% barrel percentage against righties. His weak contact has led to a .074 BABIP against righties this season.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Luis Severino of the Athletics. Severino has held his first 70 righties to a .255 wOBA. He’s also allowed just a 20.8% line drive percentage. Severino was excellent against righties last season and has performed well against righties this year.
At this point, Amaya is putting up stats that a pitcher would in the nine-spot.
Let’s take Amaya to go Under .5 total bases at -120. It’s one of the best plays on the board according to our AI Model.
MLB Pick: Jacob Amaya Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, April 25, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Yoshinobu Yamamoto will add only 5.799 strikeouts. Meanwhile, his strikeout total is at 6.5, with the under at +114 MLB odds. That’s a steal, according to the AI Model.
Will Yamamoto Come Back To Life?
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has added 38.2% of strikeouts for the Los Angeles Dodgers this season. This is a super high rate and very encouraging.
However, it’s still early in the year. After all, Yamamoto struck out just 27.2% of batters last season.
Ultimately, Yamamoto will battle a Pirates lineup that has struck out only 21.3% of the time against righties. In the lineup, there are only four batters who have struck out more than 20.5% of the time.
With a limited number of targets, it’ll be hard for Yamamoto to earn a super high rate of strikeouts. It’s also very hard to sustain a strikeout rate of more than 38%.
Let’s back the Under 6.5 Strikeouts for Yamamoto tonight, thanks to the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+114) at Caesars Sportsbook
Texas Rangers vs. San Francisco Giants
Friday, April 25, 2025 – 10:15 PM EDT at Oracle Park
The AI Model projects Justin Verlander will conclude tonight’s game with 4.3 strikeouts. Meanwhile, his total is at 5.5, with the under up to -158. That’s a top-tier play in this Rangers-Giants game.
Justin Verlander Still Hasn’t Added High Strikeouts!
The San Francisco Giants brought in Justin Verlander to help anchor a young starting rotation. Yet, he’s struggled against his first 110 batters.
The veteran righty has only struck out 20.9% of batters and has allowed a .173 ISO with a wOBA of .341.
In addition, Verlander has given up 44.7% of hard contact, and most of those hits have been in the air, since he’s induced only 34.2% of ground balls.
Verlander will take on a Rangers lineup that has a lot of injuries and moving parts. However, Texas has still hit a .191 ISO and wOBA of .309. They’re still dangerous and could kick Verlander out of the game early.
Don’t expect Verlander to rack up strikeouts against the Rangers. He hasn’t been able to rack up strikeouts against any team so far this season.
I’m on the Under for Justin Verlander’s strikeouts.
MLB Pick: Justin Verlander Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-158) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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