The MLB board has a 14-game slate throughout the day. Many teams are holding their home openers earlier today. However, I’ll use the AI model to examine some of the later games on the slate. This gives everyone a chance to tail the bets!
Picks Summary
- Rangers ML (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Reds +1.5 (-250) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Angels ML (-105) at Bet365
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Friday, April 04, 2025 – 08:05 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
Our AI Model believes the Rangers will escape the Rays, 4.3-4.2. Meanwhile, the Rangers are -130 on the moneyline. If the model’s projections work out, the Rangers at -130 would work out.
Can Zack Littell Continue His Dominance?
Zack Littell faced 22 batters in his season debut and struck out nearly 32% of batters with a .000 ISO and wOBA of .162.
However, Littell allowed a .160 ISO and wOBA of .321 last season and struck out only 21.5% of batters.
I’m not ready to trust Littell just yet, especially against a Rangers lineup filled with left-handed power like Corey Seager and Joc Pederson.
Tyler Mahle Has The Better Matchup
In no world is Tyler Mahle a better pitcher than Zack Littell. However, he’s taking on a Rays team with four batters hitting a wOBA of .292 or less against righties.
Mahle struck out 27.3% of batters in his season debut and should be a better strikeout pitcher than Littell in this game.
I’ll side with Mahle and the Rangers at -130 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Rangers ML (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Friday, April 04, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at American Family Field
The AI Model projects the Brewers will add a 4.7-3.6 win tonight over the Reds. The Reds should keep this game close. At +1.5, the Reds have some value.
Nick Martinez Should Be Afraid!
Nick Martinez will get the start for the Reds. He held 570 batters to a .139 ISO and wOBA of .280 with only 20.4% of strikeouts last season.
However, this year, he already allowed a .364 ISO and wOBA of .323 with 41.2% of fly balls to begin the year.
He’ll take on a Brewers lineup with five batters who have hit an ISO of at least .186 against righties since last season. Milwaukee has some power, and that’s not good for Martinez.
Who Will Pitch For the Brewers?
The Brewers called up Carlos Rodriguez. He’ll likely get the bulk of the game today. However, it’s already been stated that he won’t start.
Either way, Rodriguez allowed a .231 ISO and wOBA of .401 to 57 batters, and if he gets any time on the mound, look for the Reds to take advantage. Even at -250, I love the Reds at +1.5.
MLB Pick: Reds +1.5 (-250) at Caesars Sportsbook
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Friday, April 04, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model thinks the Angels will escape the Guardians with a 4-3.8 win. The Angels are just -105 on the moneyline and are the play in tonight’s late-night game in Los Angeles.
Can Gavin Williams Find His Strikeout Pitch?
The Cleveland Guardians will send out Gavin Williams tonight. He struck out 24.3% of batters last season but added just 10.5% of strikeouts in his first start this season.
The right-hander held those 19 batters to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .224, but he also allowed 31.2% of fly balls and, again, struck out 10.5% of batters.
The Angels’ projected lineup has struck out only 22.3% of the time. They’ve got four batters who have struck out below 22% of the time against righties. If Williams can’t earn a high rate of strikeouts, balls in play will eventually burn him.
How Good Can Jose Soriano Be?
Jose Soriano looked electric in his first start for the Angels. He struck out 21.7% of batters and held 23 batters to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .137. In addition, he earned 75% of ground balls and didn’t allow a single fly ball in that game.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle a Guardians lineup that has hit a .297 wOBA since last season against righties.
The Guardians have Jose Ramirez, and that’s about it. Back the Angels at -105.
MLB Pick: Angels ML (-105) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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