We’ve got a few intriguing matchups on tonight’s MLB slate. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for assistance in finding the best bets for each game. Here’s what it came up with.
The Picks
- Diamondbacks ML (-125) at Bet365
- Reds-Giants Over 7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Padres-Athletics Under 8.5 (-110) at Bet365
Baltimore Orioles vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, April 07, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model thinks the Arizona Diamondbacks will add a 5.1-3.8 win over the Baltimore Orioles tonight. Meanwhile, Arizona is just -125 on the moneyline. There’s so much value on the Diamondbacks tonight.
The Diamondbacks Have Plenty Of Potential
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit a .166 ISO and wOBA of .326 against righties dating back to last year. This group will battle Zach Eflin of the Orioles, who has allowed a .205 ISO to his first 45 batters faced.
Eflin has also struck out only 15.6% of batters and has allowed more fly balls than ground balls to start the season.
Arizona’s projected lineup has struck out only 19.1% of the time and has eight batters with a wOBA of at least .309 against righties since last season.
Trust Arizona’s Ace
The Diamondbacks will rock with Zac Gallen. He’s struggled a bit against lefties to start the season, but he’s still added a .122 ISO and wOBA of .244 against his first 45 batters faced this year.
Beyond that, he’s struck out 37.8% of batters this year.
He’ll have four targets who have struck out at least 24.5% of the time against righties since last year. Plus, the Orioles have four hitters who have hit an ISO of no better than .146 against righties during that span.
Let’s ride the Diamondbacks at -125 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-125) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Monday, April 07, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
The AI Model projects that the Reds and Giants will combine for 7.6 runs. However, using Caesars Sportsbook, the total is stuck at seven. Ultimately, the over is the play, even with two ace pitchers on the mound.
Can Hunter Greene Sustain Consistency?
The Reds have an ace in Hunter Greene. That said, he’s had many instances where he’s struggled to show consistency.
So far, he’s struck out more than 36% of batters and has walked just 4.5%. But he walked 9.3% of batters last season and only struck out 27.7% of batters.
Greene likely won’t be nearly as consistent, especially against the Giants, who have many power bats.
Logan Webb Has Struggled A Little With Lefties
Logan Webb has allowed 12.5% of walks and a .364 wOBA to lefties to start the season.
The Reds should have more lefties than righties in tonight’s lineup. Those lefties have also performed better against righties than the righties have in the Reds’ lineup.
The Reds aren’t earning a high rate of walks since last season against righties, but they still have guys who can work at-bats and make Webb work. Grab the Over 7 in this game.
MLB Pick: Over 7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
San Diego Padres vs. Athletics
Monday, April 07, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model thinks Padres and Athletics will only add 7.9 runs in tonight’s game. However, the total is currently at 8.5 via Bet365. The Under is the most valuable play in this game.
Michael King Can Be Terrific!
The San Diego Padres will pitch Michael King for tonight’s game. He’s a right-handed starter who allowed just a .123 ISO and wOBA of .279 with 27.9% of strikeouts last season.
His walks have been high to start the season. Yet, he’s still struck out 40% of batters while allowing a .103 ISO and wOBA of .306. Meanwhile, he’ll take on an Athletics lineup that has walked just 6.9% of the time against righties since last year. This is a good matchup for King.
The Athletics Have An Ace
It’s been a couple of years, but the Athletics finally have an ace on the roster. That’s Luis Severino, who has already struck out more than 23% of batters this season. He’s also limited teams to a .301 wOBA to start the year.
The Padres don’t strike out very often, but the lineup has only hit a .168 ISO and wOBA of .324 against righties since last year. That’s nothing special.
Consider the Under 8.5 in this game.
MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (-110) at Bet365
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