There is a full slate of games on in the MLB throughout the day. I picked three games and used the AI Model to assist in finding the best bets on the slate. Check out my findings below.
Picks Summary
- Cubs ML (-144) at Bet365
- Diamondbacks ML (-112) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Reds-Giants Under 7.5 (-110) at Bet365
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago Cubs
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 07:40 PM EDT at Wrigley Field
Our AI Model likes the Cubs to escape the Rangers, 4-3 at home tonight. Ultimately, the Cubs are -144 on the moneyline and have the most value in this game.
Fade Patrick Corbin!
The public loves to face Patrick Corbin after his underwhelming career with the Washington Nationals.
Now, he’s on the Texas Rangers, and it likely won’t get any better.
Corbin has to face a Chicago Cubs team that has smacked a .366 wOBA against lefties since last season. The Cubs have also struck out below 18% of the time against lefties dating back to last season with the projected lineup.
Corbin allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .361 to 766 batters last season. Nothing should change tonight.
Low Walks Will Help Jameson Taillon
The Cubs will send out Jameson Taillon. He’s nothing better. However, he’s limited walks to 6.4% this season and allowed only 4.9% of walks last season.
He’s in line to face a Rangers lineup that has walked only 7.1% of the time against righties since last season. If Taillon keeps walks down, he’ll be able to get out of jams better and pitch deeper into this game.
Back the Cubs at -144 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Cubs ML (-144) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model projects the Diamondbacks will earn a 5-4 win over the Orioles at home tonight. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are only -112 on the moneyline. That’s massive value.
Can We Trust Charlie Morton?
The Orioles brought in a bunch of veteran arms for the starting rotation. Charlie Morton was one of them. However, he’s already allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .410 to his first 41 batters this season.
His strikeout numbers are high, but his ground ball numbers are super low. He’s also allowed 48% of line drives to begin the season.
The Diamondbacks are an offense that can simply do damage. I’d count on that against Morton tonight.
It Can’t Get Worse For Merrill Kelly
The Diamondbacks will give Merrill Kelly the start tonight. He’s a couple of bad starts away from never getting to start again.
Kelly allowed a .359 ISO and wOBA of .457 to his first 46 batters this season. However, he’s got a track record of success from previous seasons and will face an Orioles lineup that has four targets who have struck out at least 24.5% of the time.
Kelly should improve tonight.
Let’s take the Diamondbacks and roll with the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-112) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
The AI Model thinks the Giants and Reds will combine for seven runs. However, the total is stuck at 7.5, meaning the Under is the play. Consider the Under 7.5 in this game.
Can Nick Lodolo Improve His Strikeouts?
The Reds will send Nick Lodolo to the mound for tonight’s game. The young lefty has faced 48 batters. Yet, he’s only struck out 10.4% of them.
Meanwhile, he’s also limited teams to no walks and has allowed just a .130 ISO and wOBA of .231. He is just a higher amount of strikeouts away from being an elite pitcher for the Reds.
Tonight, he’ll battle a Giants lineup that has struck out more than 24% of the time against lefties since last season. Seven players in the lineup have struck out at least 20% or more against lefties since last season. Lodolo is in for a big night.
Landen Roupp Is Up Next For The Giants
The Giants will throw Landen Roupp tonight. He’s a righty who has struck out 40% of his first 20 batters faced this season.
He needs to improve his walk numbers. However, he’s taking on a Reds lineup that has walked just 6.6% of the time against righties dating back to last year.
There’s reason to believe Roupp can keep walks down. If he does that, he’ll have a solid outing, too.
Back the Under 7.5.
MLB Pick: Under 7.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
