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MLB Computer Picks for August 23: Guardians Won’t Be Able to Tame Kershaw

Clayton Kershaw Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw 22 of the Los Angeles Dodgers throws against the Milwaukee Brewers on August 16 2023 Kevork DjansezianGetty ImagesAFP

We’ve got three more bets from the computers at the OddsTrader tonight in the MLB. Let’s keep the profit coming!

Picks Summary


Colorado Rockies vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Wednesday, August 23, 2023 – 06:40 PM EDT at Tropicana Field


Our AI Model believes the Rays will earn a 7.1-3.5 victory over the Rockies tonight. Although the Rays are -275 on the moneyline, the run line is still appealing in this matchup.

The Colorado Rockies will pitch Austin Gomber for tonight’s game. He’s a left-handed pitcher, allowing a .205 ISO and wOBA of .367 throughout the season.

Gomber has only struck out 14.4% of batters this year. He’s also allowed a .338 wOBA this season while inducing just 41.1% of ground balls. The left-hander has allowed 52.6% of hard contact, and because he doesn’t get many strikeouts, most batters are hitting hard shots against Gomber.

Tampa Bay’s offense hasn’t responded against lefties recently, but the top of the order should still have some juice tonight. Meanwhile, Aaron Civale will get the call for the Rays. He’s held teams to a .054 ISO and wOBA of .271 over the last 30 days. Civale has also limited fly balls to under 24% and has walked just 5% of batters.

When Colorado is on the road, they’re worse offensively. This lineup has struck out 24.6% of the time against righties in the last 30 days.

Ride the Rays at the MLB odds board. I agree with the AI Model.

MLB Pick: Rays -1.5 (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook


Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees

Wednesday, August 23, 2023 – 07:05 PM EDT at Yankee Stadium


Our AI Model believes the Yankees and Nationals will score over ten runs in tonight’s game. With the line at 9, there’s certainly value on the over.

Tonight’s matchup between the Nationals and Yankees should be high-scoring. MacKenzie Gore will take the hill for the Nationals. The left-hander has allowed his last 65 righties to hit a .263 ISO and wOBA of .323. He’s also allowed more fly balls than ground balls induced over the last month.

Meanwhile, the Yankees should have a full lineup of right-handed hitters. Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Volpe, Harrison Bader, and Kyle Higashioka have all hit lefties well over the last 30 days.

The projected lineup for the Yankees has hit a .258 ISO and wOBA of .415 against lefties in the last 30 days.

On the other hand, Luis Severino will get the call for the Yankees. He’s been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this season. Severino has allowed a .364 ISO and wOBA of .510 against his last 76 batters. He’s been awful against lefties but not much better against righties.

The Nationals have four batters hitting an ISO of above .190 and six batters hitting a wOBA of at least .338. They’ve also struck out just 19.4% of the time against righties in the last month. Washington will put the ball in play and succeed against Severino like every team this season.

Back the Over at one of the top sportsbooks in this one.

MLB Pick: Over 9 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Wednesday, August 23, 2023 – 07:10 PM EDT at Progressive Field


The AI Model suggests that the Dodgers will defeat the Guardians, 5.7-3, in tonight’s ball game. Los Angeles is a -210 favorite, but that’s still a profitable bet in the grand scheme.

Knowing you’re betting on the Dodgers when Clayton Kershaw is on the mound is comforting. That’s what we’ll be doing tonight. Kershaw’s strikeouts have dipped, but he’s held teams to a .278 wOBA over the last month. The left-hander has also earned 48.3% of ground balls since returning to the mound. He’ll take on a Guardians lineup that has hit a .052 ISO and wOBA of .181 against lefties.

Kershaw might pitch a perfect game. Meanwhile, Xzavion Curry will get the start for the Guardians. He’s averaged 52.33 pitches per start over the last month. He’s also allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .339 to his previous 90 batters.

Curry has been worse against righties throughout the season. Mookie Betts and Will Smith would be two bats to pay attention to. However, recently, he’s also struggled against lefties. Therefore, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, and James Outman should have solid matchups tonight.

I’ll grab the Dodgers in this matchup.

MLB Pick: Dodgers ML (-210) at Caesars Sportsbook


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