We’ve got another full slate of MLB games on the horizon today. I asked the AI Model for its best bets and did a little research as well to find the best value on the board. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Kodai Senga Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-150)
- Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Total Bases (-200)
- Shohei Ohtani Under 0.5 Home Runs (-270)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
New York Mets vs. Athletics
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 04:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model predicts that Kodai Senga will allow four hits in today’s game against the Athletics. Meanwhile, Senga’s hits allowed prop is currently at 4.5 with the Under at +100. The Under certainly has value with this prop.
It’s Hard To Trust The Athletics!
The Athletics have hit just a .147 ISO and wOBA of .313 against righties using their projected lineup entering today’s game. Only Tyler Soderstrom and Jacob Wilson have consistently hit for a high ISO and wOBA.
Meanwhile, the Athletics will take on Kodai Senga of the Mets, who has limited his first 40 batters to a .139 ISO and wOBA of .286. Senga has produced 62.5% of ground balls and has allowed only 16.7% of fly balls and 16.7% of line drives.
Plus, Senga has also added 30% of strikeouts and has allowed only 7.5% of walks. The only blemish for Senga is the amount of hard contact allowed. He’s also given up a .238 ISO and wOBA of .455 to 23 lefties this season. However, again, Soderstrom is the only lefty that has shown consistency against righties this season.
Senga should be able to keep the hits down against the Athletics in a massive rubber match for the Mets.
The Pick
Take Senga to allow under 4.5 hits in today’s game.
MLB Pick: Kodai Senga Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-150) at Bet365
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The AI Model projects that Julio Rodriguez will record 1.6 total bases in today’s game against the Texas Rangers. Meanwhile, his over for the total bases prop of .5 is currently -200. There’s lots of expected value with that play.
Julio Rodriguez Is Cooking!
The Mariners will take on Nathan Eovaldi in tonight’s showdown against the Rangers. Julio Rodriguez will likely bat first in the lineup and face a veteran pitcher who has been really good this season.
Still, Rodriguez has hit a .243 ISO and wOBA of .333 with 30.8% of fly balls and 65.4% of hard contact. Rodriguez has also added a 7.7% barrel percentage and has been unlucky with his BABIP of .208.
As long as Rodriguez continues to hit these types of numbers, BABIP will rise, and he’ll start to add more hits.
The Pick
Let’s back Julio Rodriguez to earn at least one total base against the Rangers. Even if Eovaldi shuts him down, Rodriguez will still likely get one or two opportunities against bullpen arms.
MLB Pick: Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Total Bases (-200) at Bet365
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 07:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model isn’t a fan of Shohei Ohtani tonight. It only thinks Ohtani will hit a home run 15% of the time. Meanwhile, you can take Ohtani not to hit a home run at -270.
Are We Fading Shohei Ohtani?
In tonight’s Sunday Night Baseball game, Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers will take on Colin Rea and the Cubs.
Ohtani has hit a .214 ISO and wOBA of .394 but has also struck out 30.6% of the time against righties to begin the season. He’s also hit 47.1% of ground balls and only 17.6% of line drives against righties this year. Plus, nearly a quarter of at-bats against righties have resulted in walks.
Rea has faced eight lefties this season. Those eight lefties have hit a .125 ISO and wOBA of .381 with 50% of ground balls induced.
The Pick
I’m comfortable fading Ohtani and taking his under in the home run department.
MLB Pick: Shohei Ohtani Under 0.5 Home Runs (-270) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
