There’s baseball on the schedule all day today! Before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks, let’s check in with the AI Model and see what its favorite three bets are for tonight’s portion of the slate.
Picks Summary
- Kameron Misner Under 0.5 Total Hits (+100)
- Cardinals/Mets Over 7.5 (-120)
- Kumar Rocker Under 4.5 Ks (+105)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Thursday, April 17, 2025 – 07:05 PM EDT at George M. Steinbrenner Field
Our AI Model predicts Kamerson Misner will add .356 hits against the Yankees tonight. Yet, his consensus line is stuck at .5 hits. Furthermore, his under .5 hits is at +100. There’s value there.
Will Warren Should Perform Against Lefties!
The Yankees will start Will Warren tonight. The right-hander has allowed 16.7% of walks and has given up a .240 ISO with a wOBA of .341. Still, Warren has added 50% of ground balls and has allowed just 22.2% of fly balls. If he maintains these numbers, his future numbers will be so much better.
Kameron Misner has smacked a .333 ISO and wOBA of .512 with the Rays to begin the year against righties. But is this sustainable for the left fielder? Probably not. Misner has only added a 9.4% barrel percentage and has hit just 31.2% of fly balls. These are good numbers, but nothing tremendous.
The Pick
Let’s take Kameron Misner to go Under 0.5 total hits.
MLB Pick: Kameron Misner Under 0.5 Total Hits (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
Thursday, April 17, 2025 – 07:10 PM EDT at Citi Field
The AI Model projects the Mets and Cardinals will combine to score eight runs in tonight’s game. Meanwhile, the total is stuck at 7.5. The value is all on the over in this one.
Will Balls In Play Burn Andre Pallante?
The St. Louis Cardinals are set to pitch Andre Pallante tonight. The right-hander has struck out only 19.7% of batters and has walked 10.6% of batters. Meanwhile, he’s still got a .119 ISO and wOBA of .250 with nearly 70% of ground balls induced.
Pallante has been tremendous, but eventually balls in play will hurt him. This season, Juan Soto and Pete Alonso have hit righties very well. Brandon Nimmo and Luis Torrens have also shown off some power. Those four bats should be able to lead the Mets to a solid amount of runs tonight.
Is Griffin Canning Healthy?
Griffin Canning was scratched from yesterday’s start due to an illness. He’ll instead pitch tonight. Ultimately, he’s allowed a .175 ISO and wOBA of .350 with 20% of strikeouts and 12.3% of walks.
He hasn’t been on his A-game. Canning has a lot of potential, but I’d be worried about him coming off an illness. He might not be 100%. Plus, the Cardinals’ projected lineup has added a .172 ISO and wOBA of .346 against righties to begin the year. There are only two batters in the Cardinals lineup hitting a wOBA of below .316 this season against righties.
The Pick
The over makes the most sense in this spot.
MLB Pick: Cardinals/Mets Over 7.5 (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Thursday, April 17, 2025 – 08:05 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model believes Kumar Rocker will finish with only 3.3 strikeouts for the Texas Rangers tonight. Yet, his consensus line is currently at 4.5. The Under can be found at +105, too. That’s a steal!
Kumar Rocker Is Not A Strikeout Pitcher!
The Rangers will send Kumar Rocker to the mound for tonight’s game against the Los Angeles Angels. Rocker has struck out only 10.9% of batters this season. He’s also allowed a .224 ISO and wOBA of .443 to his first 55 batters faced this year.
Meanwhile, the Angels’ projected lineup has hit a .240 ISO and wOBA of .353 against righties. There’s a good chance the Angels will knock out Rocker early. In addition, there are only four batters who have struck out more than 25% of the time against righties.
The majority of hitters aren’t clear strikeout targets for Rocker tonight.
The Pick
Let’s take Rocker to go Under 4.5 Ks at +105 odds.
MLB Pick: Kumar Rocker Under 4.5 Ks (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
