There are 16 games on today’s MLB slate! Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its three favorite bets for the later games on the board. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-137) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Justin Verlander Under 5.5 Ks (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Martin Maldonado Under .5 Hits (-155) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 02:35 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
The AI Model believes Tyler Mahle will give up only 3.1 hits against the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. Meanwhile, Mahle’s hits allowed line is at 4.5. The under is the best play in this game.
Tyler Mahle Looks Great To Start The Season!
The Rangers will run it back with Tyler Mahle today. He is a right-handed pitcher who has struck out 28% of batters this season. His walks are a bit high, but he’s still held 75 batters to a .045 ISO and wOBA of .193 this season.
The best part of Mahle’s stats this year is his whiff rate. He’s added 27.8% of whiffs and has earned more than 13% of swinging strikes.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle a Dodgers lineup with plenty of power. Yet, the Dodgers’ projected lineup with Shohei Ohtani back in it has still struck out more than 21% of the time. Six batters in the Dodgers’ lineup have strikeout rates above 23.5% against righties this year.
The Pick
Mahle should get a lot of swings and misses. Let’s take his Under 4.5 hits allowed.
MLB Pick: Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-137) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 04:07 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Justin Verlander will earn only 4.35 strikeouts for the Giants today. Yet, his consensus line is at 5.5, with the under juiced to -125. That’s one of the best plays you’ll see on the board today, according to our Model.
Justin Verlander Should Retire!
The Giants signed veteran righty Justin Verlander in the offseason, hoping he would be the Verlander of old. He hasn’t been. Verlander has struck out just 19.3% of batters and has walked 10.2%. He’s also allowed a .167 ISO and wOBA of .372 with 25.8% of line drives and only 37.1% of ground balls induced.
Against righties, he’s allowed a .270 ISO and wOBA of .412, and now he’ll take on an Angels lineup that is filled with right-handed batters who have hit for power against other righties this season.
I’d be surprised if Verlander got through five innings today.
The Pick
Side with the AI Model and take Verlander to go Under 5.5 Ks.
MLB Pick: Justin Verlander Under 5.5 Ks (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros
Sunday, April 20, 2025 – 07:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
The AI Model projects Martin Maldonado will earn .273 hits tonight. However, his line is at .5, with the Under at only -155. We’re taking it.
Martin Maldonado Is Not This Good!
If you’re looking at Martin Maldonado’s stats in 2025, you’re probably surprised. He’s hit a .375 ISO and wOBA of .508 against his first nine lefties this season. He’s also added 33.3% of line drives. That said, he’s still hit 50% of ground balls against lefties and only 16.7% of fly balls with 33.3% of hard contact.
He’s gotten lucky with a .400 BABIP against lefties this year. Last year, he hit a .073 ISO and wOBA of .097 against lefties with 37% of strikeouts and 4.3% of walks. He’ll likely get back to that sooner rather than later. He’s a right-handed catcher primarily known for his defense.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle Framber Valdez of the Astros. Valdez has held his first 72 righties to a .200 ISO and wOBA of .312. These aren’t great stats, but he’ll still be able to add 53.3% of ground balls and has given up only 13.3% of fly balls. Valdez will be fine against the No. 9 hitter.
The Pick
Take Maldonado to go Under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Martin Maldonado Under .5 Hits (-155) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
