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BETTING

MLB Computer Picks for April 9: Big Names, Cold Bats, Smart Bets

  • MLB

We’ve got a full slate of games in the MLB throughout the day. I looked at some of the later matchups and added a handful of player props that you’ll want to consider using the AI Model. Check it out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!

Picks Summary

  • Logan Allen Under 4.5 Ks (-122)
  • Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Total Bases (-165) 
  • Ty France Under 1.5 Total Bases (-190) 

*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Wednesday, April 09, 2025 – 06:10 PM EDT at Progressive Field


Our AI Model predicts that Logan Allen of the Cleveland Guardians will earn just 3.85 strikeouts in tonight’s game against the White Sox. Meanwhile, his prop is stuck at 4.5. According to our model, the under has value.

Logan Allen Isn’t Earning Many Strikeouts!

The Guardians will send out Logan Allen for tonight’s game against the White Sox. The lefty has struck out just 4.2% of his first 24 batters this season. Meanwhile, he’s walked 20.8% of batters and has allowed a .235 ISO and wOBA of .470. It’s unlikely Allen even gets through five innings tonight. Yes, even against the Chicago White Sox, who ultimately have an inept offense.

At least the White Sox will have four batters who have struck out lower than 20% of the time against lefties last season. In addition, the White Sox have improved offensively from last year and should have a better approach at the plate this season.

Any major league hitter can take advantage if Allen continues to fall behind in counts. Allen has walked more than one batter every fifth at bat, which is super bad. The White Sox would even perform well if he did that.

The Pick

Take Logan Allen to go Under 4.5 Ks tonight.

MLB Pick: Logan Allen Under 4.5 Ks (-122) at Bet365


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Wednesday, April 09, 2025 – 07:15 PM EDT at Truist Park


The AI Model projects that Alec Bohm will only earn .594 total bases tonight. However, his total bases prop is currently at 1.5 with -165 juice next to it. The expected value is high on this prop. Take Bohm’s Under.

Alec Bohm Is Struggling Again

The Phillies’ third baseman has been getting himself into many slumps throughout his MLB career with the Phillies. He’s already started the season in one. Bohm has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .206 with only 4% of walks against righties to start the season.

Meanwhile, he’ll take on Grant Holmes of the Atlanta Braves, who limited righties to a .167 ISO and wOBA of .292 last season. Holmes has struggled a little against righties this season. Yet, he’s still limited righties to 14.3% of line drives and 57.1% of ground balls.

Holmes will improve. Bohm likely won’t.

The Pick

Take Bohm to go under 1.5 total bases. Trust the AI Model.

MLB Pick: Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Total Bases (-165) at Bet365


Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Wednesday, April 09, 2025 – 07:40 PM EDT at Kauffman Stadium


The AI Model thinks Ty France will add just .616 total bases tonight for the Minnesota Twins. Meanwhile, his Under line is set at 1.5 (-190). There’s some actual value.

Ty France Can’t Hit Anything!

The Minnesota Twins will face the Kansas City Royals’ starter Seth Lugo. Lugo is a right-handed pitcher who limited teams to a .124 ISO and wOBA of .281 last season. This year, he’s struggled a bit against lefties but has still held his first nine righties to a .111 ISO and wOBA of .240 this season.

Ty France is a right-handed batter who will likely hit fifth in tonight’s lineup. He’s already added just a .038 ISO and wOBA of .255 against his first 28 righties this year. In addition, his BABIP is sitting at .261 against righties to start the year.

This is nothing new. Last season, France hit a .135 ISO and wOBA of .298 against righties and wasn’t very good against righties last season, either.

The Pick

Take France to go Under 1.5 Total Bases tonight.

MLB Pick: Ty France Under 1.5 Total Bases (-190) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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