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BETTING

MLB Computer Picks for March 30: Atlanta to Secure First Win of the Season

Spencer Schwellenbach Atlanta Braves
Spencer Schwellenbach #56 of the Atlanta Braves throws a pitch in the first inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on March 29, 2025 in San Diego, California. Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images/AFP

It’s Sunday, so we have a loaded MLB slate. I went straight to the AI Model and asked for its favorite three bets. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.

Picks Summary


Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Sunday, March 30, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at Chase Field


Our AI Model believes the Diamondbacks will earn a 5.9-4 win over the Cubs. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are just -125 on the moneyline. Consider the Diamondbacks in this spot. There’s so much value!

Arizona Slugs Against Lefties

Matthew Boyd will make his season debut with the Chicago Cubs. The lefty has had some quality seasons, but he was injured for most of last year.

That said, he limited teams to a .121 ISO and wOBA of .277. It’s just unlikely he does that against a Diamondbacks team that hit a .353 wOBA against lefties using the projected lineup from last season.

This same projected lineup struck out only 18% of the time against lefties. They’ll make Boyd work.

Chicago’s Lineup Isn’t Balanced Enough

The Arizona Diamondbacks will also send out a left-handed pitcher in Eduardo Rodriguez. He’s also been up and down throughout his career. However, he’s taking on a Cubs lineup that hit a .286 wOBA against lefties last season. The bottom portion of the order has little power against lefties.

That should help Rodriguez have a quality day on the mound.

The Pick

Back the Diamondbacks at -125 as they look to pick up their second win of the season.

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook


Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

Sunday, March 30, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park


The AI Model thinks the Mariners will earn a 3.9-3.4 win over the Athletics tonight. You can find the Mariners at -170. There’s value with the Mariners at home tonight.

The Athletics Are Pitching a Lefty

The Athletics will roll with JP Sears, a lefty pitcher who allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .326 to 759 batters last season. Sears only struck out 18.1% of batters and allowed 32% of fly balls, with just 37.9% of ground balls.

He’ll battle a Mariners projected lineup that hit a .323 wOBA against lefties last season. The team also walked nearly 10% of the time and will make Sears work.

Get Woo’d

The Seattle Mariners will give Bryan Woo his first start of the season. Woo only added 21.4% of strikeouts, but he also held 472 batters to a .126 ISO and wOBA of .253.

These are way better numbers than what Sears brings to the table. Plus, strikeouts could be higher against the Athletics, who struck out nearly 23% of the time against righties last season.

The Pick

Buy the Mariners at -170.

MLB Pick: Mariners ML (-170) at Bet365


Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres

Sunday, March 30, 2025 – 07:10 PM EDT at Petco Park


The AI Model predicts that the Braves will finally earn their first win of the season, a 4.4-4 victory over the Padres. With Atlanta at +100, it’s worth wagering a unit on!

Is AJ Smith-Shawver Ready?

The Braves will give AJ Smith-Shawver a turn in the starting rotation. He’s a young right-hander who struggled a little against righties last season.

Ultimately, he faced 15 righties and gave up a .214 ISO and wOBA of .377. However, he also faced 12 lefties as a right-handed pitcher, allowed a .000 ISO and struck out 33.3%. He showed signs that he could be an excellent pitcher.

Ultimately, he won’t add a high amount of strikeouts. But he’s facing a Padres lineup that is often aggressive at the plate, which should keep walks down. Plus, the Padres hit a .162 ISO against righties using the projected lineup. Only four players hit an ISO of above .131 against righties. It’s an inconsistent lineup for the Padres.

What To Expect From Nick Pivetta

The Padres signed Nick Pivetta into the starting rotation in the offseason. He added nearly 29% of strikeouts last season but also gave up a .208 ISO to 595 batters. He’ll add a heavy amount of strikeouts. But there will also be times he’ll get tagged.

Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna are two right-handed batters who smashed righties last season. Pivetta was way worse against righties throughout the previous year.

The Pick

Take the Braves at +100.

MLB Pick: Braves ML (+100) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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