The AI Model has been on fire over the last couple of weeks. Here are three plays that our MLB computer picks suggest for today’s slate.
Picks Summary
- Cubs ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Astros/Rangers Over 9 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Tigers ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago Cubs
Sunday, July 02, 2023 – 02:20 PM EDT at Wrigley Field
Our AI Model predicts the Cubs will earn a 4.6-3.6 win over the Guardians in today’s matchup. The Chicago Cubs are underdogs against the Cleveland Guardians tonight. However, our AI Model believes that the Cubs should be the favorites.
Aaron Civale will take the mound for the Guardians. He’s allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .329 to his last 116 batters faced. He’s struggled against lefties and righties in both categories and is only earning 21.6% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Cubs hit a .182 ISO and wOBA of .357 against righties last month. Chicago’s lineup has been performing a bit better recently, with the bottom portion doing damage.
On the other hand, Jameson Taillon will get the call for the Cubs. He’s been awful against lefties but has done well against righties. Lefties have hit a .387 ISO and wOBA of .444, while righties have hit a .098 ISO and wOBA of .291 against him in the last 30 days.
The Guardians will have more lefties than righties in today’s lineup, but they’ve hit a .171 ISO and wOBA of .359. Taillon has had more success this season and has allowed a BABIP of just .289 against both sides of the plate in the last 30 days.
Therefore, I’d also back the Cubs at home in this spot. They’re in a better position to come away with a win. At +100, why not back them?
MLB Pick: Cubs ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Sunday, July 02, 2023 – 02:35 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
The AI Model believes that the Astros and Rangers will combine for 11.7 runs in tonight’s ga,e. The total sits at 9, with the Rangers being -130 favorites. The model has the Rangers earning a 6.8-4.9 victory. Therefore, there are multiple plays in this game via the AI Model.
The Rangers are small favorites but are projected to win by nearly two runs. Taking the Rangers at -130 isn’t a bad idea, but the Over looks to be the bigger play. The total is at nine, but the model believes both teams will combine to score nearly 12 runs.
Shawn Dubin will get the start for the Astros. He’s been terrible, allowing a .208 ISO and wOBA of .427 to his first 25 batters in the big leagues. Meanwhile, with their projected lineup, the Rangers have hit a .206 ISO and wOBA of .352 against righties in the last 30 days. They’re expected to do massive damage against Dubin.
On the other hand, Andrew Heaney will get the call for the Rangers. Heaney is a veteran pitcher who can’t get righties out right now. Heaney’s a lefty, giving up a .277 ISO and wOBA of .404 to his last 96 righties. The Astros should have eight righties in their lineup. They’ve hit a .132 ISO, which isn’t good but have also knocked a .353 wOBA against lefties with under 17% of strikeouts.
The Astros will find ways to get on base, and score runs against Heaney too. Back the Over 9 at MLB odds board.
MLB Pick: Over 9 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies
Sunday, July 02, 2023 – 03:10 PM EDT at Coors Field
The AI Model suggests that the Tigers will earn a 6.4-5.5 victory on the road against the Rockies today. The Tigers and Rockies are listed at an even -110 each on the moneyline, but the Tigers should have the advantage, per our AI Model.
The Detroit Tigers are sitting at -110 against the Colorado Rockies today. Matt Manning has made his return to the mound after being injured. In those 25 plate appearances since returning, he’s held teams to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .256. His strikeout numbers aren’t high, and his walks can get high. But he hasn’t allowed any power since returning.
He’ll face a Rockies lineup with a .102 ISO and woBA a .296 against righties in the last 30 days. They’ve got nothing going for them on the offensive end, striking out nearly 26% of the time with their projected lineup.
On the other hand, Connor Seabold will get the start for the Rockies. He’s allowed a .244 ISO and wOBA of .368 to his last 87 batters faced. Seabold has struggled with both sides of the plate.
Meanwhile, last month, the Tigers hit a .185 ISO and wOBA of .338 against righties. The offense has six batters hitting an above-average ISO in the last 30 days and six batters hitting an above-average wOBA in the last month.
The Tigers have been much more consistent and have a better matchup.
MLB Pick: Tigers ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
