The AI Model has been money over the last week. I agree with a few spots today. Here are some of the best MLB computer picks you can tail with the AI Model.
Picks Summary
- Rays -1.5 (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Brewers ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Diamondbacks/Giants Over 9 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Sunday, June 25, 2023 – 01:40 PM EDT at Tropicana Field
The AI Model believes that the Tampa Bay Rays will earn a 7.2-3.5 victory over the Kansas City Royals today.
Teams Analysis
Kansas City Royals
The Royals will send out Daniel Lynch for today’s game against the Rays. He’s a lefty who has put up solid numbers over the last 30 days.
He’s held teams to 7.1% of walks and has watched teams hit an ISO of .191 and wOBA of .315. These aren’t dreadful numbers. However, the Rays have slugged nearly 25% of line drives against lefties with their projected lineup and have also hit 52.3% of hard contact against lefties in the last month.
Lynch usually gets tagged. He can get deep into a game because he won’t earn high strikeouts. Therefore, his pitch count doesn’t get incredibly high throughout a game. However, he’s still allowing close to 40% of hard contact and not getting a high CSWhiff percentage in the last month.
Only two bats in the Rays lineup have hit under 42% of hard contact.
Tampa Bay Rays
On the other hand, the Rays will pitch Tyler Glasnow. He’s had his struggles, but he’s certainly the ace of this game. He struggles against lefties but continues to pitch well against righties.
The Royals have been one of the worst offenses in baseball this year. They’ve also been one of the worst teams in baseball. They’re hitting a combined .131 ISO and wOBA of .318 against righties over the last month. This Royals lineup has no real threats outside of Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez.
Let’s back the Rays at -1.5. I agree with the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Rays -1.5 (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Sunday, June 26, 2023 – 01:40 PM EDT at Progressive Field
Despite oddsmakers giving this game 50-50 odds, our AI Model suggests that the Brewers will earn a 4.3-3 win over the Guardians today.
Teams Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers
It’s Corbin Burnes Day! We probably got more excited for Burnes’s outings in years past, but he’s still been solid this year. Burnes has earned over 27% of strikeouts and has only walked 7,8% of batters in the last month.
Burnes has also kept hitters to a .110 ISO and wOBA 252 in the last month. He’s not going to get high grounders and will give up line drives, but that’s only if a team can hit him and put the ball in play.
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have a wOBA of .331 and an ISO of .131. They’ve only got four batters hitting a wOBA of at least .312. The rest of the lineup has struggled badly. On the other hand, Aaron Civale will take the hill for the Guardians. He’s been awful against righties, despite being a right-handed pitcher.
Civale has allowed a .216 ISO and wOBA of .364 to his last 43 righties. He’s giving up enough hard contact and plenty of line drives against righties in the last 30 days.
The Brewers should have a balanced lineup between righties and lefties, but those righties have combined to hit a .336 wOBA against righties. They’ve been the better hitters for the Brewers in the last month against righties.
Look for Milwaukee’s right-handed hitters to shine along with Burnes. I’m with the AI Model here. Take the Brewers on the moneyline at the MLB odds board.
MLB Pick: Brewers ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Sunday, June 25, 2023 – 04:05 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts that the Giants and Diamondbacks will surpass the total of 9, with the Giants earning a narrow victory of 5.3-5.1.
The Diamondbacks and Giants have both been solid at the plate over the last month. That’s good news, especially knowing both teams will face struggling pitchers today.
Teams Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson will get the ball for the Diamondbacks. He’s allowed his last 55 lefties to hit a .340 ISO and wOBA of .428.
The Giants’ lefties have combined to hit a .348 wOBA with close to 11% of walks.
San Francisco Giants
Meanwhile, Anthony DeSclafani will get the call for the Giants. He’s given up a .235 ISO and wOBA of .403 to his last 57 lefties. He’s also watched righties hit a .365 wOBA in the last month.
The lefties in the Arizona lineup have slugged a .235 ISO and wOBA of .397 against righties in the last month. They’ve got just as good of a matchup against the righty.
The AI Model believes we’ll get at least five runs from both teams. I’m on board. Let’s grab the Over.
MLB Pick: Over 9 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
