There are two matchups on the MLB postseason slate tonight. We’ve got the ALCS Game 3 between the Yankees and Guardians at 5:08 pm ET. The Yankees already lead the series 2-0, but now the Guardians will have opportunities to play the next three games in this series at home.
Next up, the Mets will face the Dodgers in Game 4 of the NLCS. The Dodgers currently lead the Mets 2-1 in the series after last night’s 8-0 victory. The Dodgers added a monster win in Game 1, but the Mets responded in Game 2 with their own monster win. We’ll see if the Mets can find that same magic in Game 4 and tie the series.
We asked our computers for their favorite bets of the night. Below, we’ll provide a pick for each game with assistance from the AI Model.
Picks Summary
- Yankees ML (-120)
- Dodgers-Mets Over 7 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
Thursday, October 17, 2024 – 05:08 PM ET at Progressive Field
Our AI Model believes the Yankees will win a 4.9-3.6 over the Guardians tonight. The Yankees are only -120 on the moneyline, so clearly, the Yankees at -120 via Bet365 is the play of the night in this ALCS Game 3 matchup.
Clarke Schmidt’s First ALCS Start
The Yankees will roll with Clarke Schmidt tonight. He’s a right-handed thrower who has had his ups and downs over the last 30 days.
Schmidt has struck out 31.2% of lefties but has also allowed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .370 to his last 48 lefties.
Meanwhile, he’s only struck out 21.6% of righties over the last month but has held righties to a .033 ISO and wOBA of .249 over the last 30 days.
His stats are weird all around. However, he’s taking on a Guardians lineup that has only hit a combined .161 ISO and wOBA of .311 over the last 30 days against righties. Schmidt should pitch fairly well tonight.
Matthew Boyd Could Struggle
The Guardians will give Matthew Boyd the start. It’s practically a must-win game for the Guardians, who are down 2-0 in the series. Boyd is a lefty who has allowed a .172 ISO and wOBA of .344 to his last 34 righties.
This isn’t good, especially with Aaron Judge starting to figure it out at the plate. Giancarlo Stanton is also red-hot for the Yankees, and Gleyber Torres is doing his thing. These are all righties that can do serious damage.
MLB Computer Pick
Follow the AI Model and take the Yankees at -120 MLB odds on the moneyline.
MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-120) at Bet365
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Thursday, October 17, 2024 – 08:08 PM ET at Citi Field
The AI Model likes the Dodgers and Mets to combine for 7.6 runs tonight. With Bet365’s total currently at just 7, the Over looks to be the play in tonight’s NLCS Game 4 matchup.
Can The Mets Hit Starting Pitching?
The New York Mets have been very inconsistent at the plate over the last 30 days. The offense has hit a .191 ISO and wOBA of .323 against righties during the previous 30 days, but many of those hits are coming against the bullpen.
That said, the Dodgers will roll with Yoshinobu Yamamoto for tonight’s game. The Japanese rookie has been great against lefties but has allowed a .375 ISO and wOBA of .532 to his last 26 righties.
The Mets can succeed with Mark Vientos, Pete Alonso, and other righties in the lineup against Yamamoto.
The Dodgers Don’t Miss
Jose Quintana hasn’t allowed a run yet for the Mets in the postseason. He’s been electric, holding teams to a .051 ISO and wOBA of .212 over the last month.
However, he’s facing a Dodgers projected lineup that has hit a .256 ISO and wOBA of .403 over the last 30 days. The Dodgers don’t miss. They’re patient, and work counts in getting the pitch they want.
It’ll be on Quintana to continually throw strikes. While he’ll keep the Mets in the game, there’s a good chance he gives up at least a couple of runs in this game. After all, the Dodgers have seven batters with a high ISO and wOBA against lefties over the last 30 days.
MLB Computer Pick
Let’s take the Over 7 in this one. At least one team typically gets hot in these NLCS games. This time, it’ll likely be a tighter game, with both teams adding runs to the scoreboard.
MLB Pick: Over 7 (-110) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
