We’ve got ten games on the NBA slate tonight! Let’s take advantage at the top-rated sportsbooks!
I’ve asked the AI Model for its best three bets of the night. Here’s what it came up with. And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Pacers vs. Timberwolves and Bulls vs. Jazz games!
Picks Summary
- Raptors/Suns Over 227.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Wizards/Trail Blazers Over 231.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Spurs +9.5 (-115) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Toronto Raptors vs. Phoenix Suns
Monday, March 17, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model thinks the Suns and Raptors will combine for 228 points. Meanwhile, the total is stuck at 227.5. That means the Over has some value in this game.
Trust Toronto!
The Toronto Raptors have been plagued by injuries over the last month, and a handful of players will still be out of this game. However, the Raptors have won three of their last four games and scored at least 118 points in three of them.
Meanwhile, the Suns rank 27th in points per 100 possessions on defense. Phoenix has also added only 12.3% of turnovers per game this season. The Suns, six games below .500, have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NBA this season. Toronto has enough firepower to score against them.
Offense Isn’t The Problem!
The Suns never had a problem on offense. Phoenix ranks inside the top-10 in points per 100 possessions. They’ve also shot a 56.7% effective field goal percentage, which is one of the best rates in the NBA.
In addition, they’ve gotten to the foul line at a high rate and will continue to against a Toronto team that fouls at a high rate. The Suns could even add more offensive rebounds in this game, knowing Toronto has allowed 29.4% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
The Pick
The Over 227.5 makes the most sense in this game.
NBA Pick: Raptors/Suns Over 227.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Washington Wizards vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Monday, March 17, 2025 –10:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Wizards and Blazers will score 234 points in tonight’s showdown. However, Bet365 has set the total at 231.5. The over is also the play in this game.
Washington Has Potential!
Throughout the season, the Washington Wizards have been the worst offense in the NBA. The team has scored just 107 points per 100 possessions and has shot a 51.6% effective field goal percentage.
However, the Wizards have won back-to-back games over the Pistons and Nuggets. In both of those games, Washington scored at least 126 points. The offense is coming around, and the Wizards will face a Portland defense that ranks 28th in defensive rebounding and 26th in defensive free-throw rate.
Washington can absolutely take advantage.
Can Portland Add Second Chances?
Washington has improved on offense but is still lackluster on defense. The Wizards have allowed 118.9 points per 100 possessions and have allowed nearly 30% of offensive rebounds per game.
That’s significant because the Blazers have tallied 31.5% of offensive rebounds. The Blazers should dominate the offensive glass and earn many second chances. That would help the over.
The Pick
Consider the Over 231.5 using our AI Model.
NBA Pick: Wizards/Trail Blazers Over 231.5 (-110) at Bet365
San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Monday, March 17, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model suggests the Spurs will lose to the Lakers 119-110. Meanwhile, the Spurs are +9.5 against the spread, so in this exact scenario, they would cover the spread.
The Spurs Must Limit Turnovers!
The San Antonio Spurs have scored 114.3 points per 100 possessions. However, they lack scoring potential without Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox.
That said, if the Spurs can limit turnovers and get shots up, they’ll stick around against the Lakers. After all, the Lakers have added just 13.9% of turnovers, and the Spurs are usually good at keeping turnovers down on their end.
LeBron Is Still Out!
The Lakers will also be shorthanded. LeBron James has been ruled out until at least March 24 with a groin injury. The Lakers are just 1-4 in their last five games and clearly miss James’ presence on the court.
In addition, the Lakers are very good at getting to the foul line quickly. However, the Spurs have limited teams to a league-best 15.7 free-throw rate. Don’t expect the Lakers to add a high rate of foul shots.
The Pick
Give me the Spurs at +9.5 here.
NBA Pick: Spurs +9.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
