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BETTING

NBA Computer Picks for April 2: Nuggets Look to Rebound

Aaron Gordon Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Aaron Gordon #32 of the Denver Nuggets scores on a slam dunk in the first half against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images/AFP

There are another nine games on tonight’s NBA slate! Let’s take advantage! I asked the AI model for its best three bets for tonight’s slate. Here’s what it came up with!

Picks Summary


San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets

Wednesday, April 2, 2025 – 9:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena


The AI Model thinks the Nuggets will win by 10 points at home against the Spurs. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are at -8.5 against the spread via Caesars. The best bet is Denver.

How Will The Nuggets Respond?

The Denver Nuggets just lost a double-overtime game to the Minnesota Timberwolves at home last night.

They’ll either play really poorly tonight or be super locked in. The Nuggets are a winning team and will likely be the team to bounce back after a mentally challenging game.

After all, the Spurs are in tank mode and have done nothing impressive but limit turnovers on offense. Ultimately, the Nuggets should be able to limit the Spurs from the foul line at a high rate and likely won’t allow too many good looks in this game.

The Nuggets Have The Advantage In Many Areas

The Nuggets have scored 121.1 points per 100 possessions. That’s good for third in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will take on a Spurs defense that ranks 25th in that category.

The Spurs also rank 26th in effective field goal percentage, allowing 30% of offensive rebounds. Denver is one of the best teams at rebounding on the offensive glass. The Nuggets have also added a 58% effective field goal percentage, which ranks second in the NBA.

I’ll trust the Nuggets to come out on top and earn the cover. The AI Model loves the Nuggets, so I’ll take my chances.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Detroit Pistons vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Wednesday, April 2, 2025 – 9:30 PM EDT at Paycom Center


The AI Model suggests the Pistons and Thunder will combine for 231 points. Meanwhile, the total is currently at 231.5. The Under is the most valuable play here.

The Pistons Don’t Have Key Players

Not only is Cade Cunningham doubtful for tonight, but the Pistons will also be missing three key players. They were all suspended after a brawl against the Timberwolves in the last game.

That won’t help the Pistons at all, especially going up against a Thunder unit that has limited teams to 106.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Thunder are viewed as the best defense in the NBA, holding teams to a 51.4% effective field goal percentage. They’ve also added 17.2% of turnovers per game, which is the best in the NBA.

Don’t bank on the Pistons giving us a whole lot of offense tonight.

Detroit Still Ranks In The Top 10 Defensively!

The Pistons might have to use many backups tonight. However, they still rank in the top ten defensively.

Detroit has allowed 113 points per 100 possessions and has given up only 26.6% of offensive rebounds. The Thunder aren’t even a major threat on the offensive glass to begin with.

Ultimately, the Pistons have an identity on defense. No matter who is out there, they’ll play solid defense because they’re well-coached.

Let’s take the Under 231.5 in this game.

NBA Pick: Under 231.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Wednesday, April 2, 2025 – 10:30 PM EDT at Intuit Dome


The AI Model predicts the Pelicans and Clippers will combine to score 219 points tonight. However, the total at most sportsbooks is 218.5. The over is easily the most enticing play in this game.

The Clippers Have The Edge Everywhere!

The Los Angeles Clippers aren’t always known for their offense. However, the Clippers will battle a Pelicans team that ranks dead last in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense.

Ultimately, the Pelicans are sitting their star players for the remainder of the season. The Pelicans’ second unit is playing even worse defensively than the first unit.

The Pelicans have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 56.4% and 31.1% of offensive rebounds per game. The Clippers should have a field day offensively.

Can The Pelicans Do Their Part?

The New Orleans Pelicans don’t have nearly as big of an edge as the Clippers. However, the Pelicans are still adding over 29% of offensive rebounds and have limited turnovers to 14.5%.

If turnovers stay down and offensive rebounds are around 29%, the Pelicans should be able to do enough to help push this game over the total.

Back the Over 218.5 at -110 NBA odds in this game.

NBA Pick: Over 218.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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