Today’s NBA slate is double what yesterday’s was. With 10 games on the NBA slate, I asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets of the night. Here’s what it came up with. Don’t miss out on any action at the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Mavericks -7 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Kings -5.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Clippers +2.5 (-110) at Bet365
Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, December 01, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Mavericks will earn an eight-point win on the road against the Portland Trail Blazers. The Mavericks are expected to win by eight but have a point spread of -7 at Bet365. Roll with that.
Luka Doncic Is Getting Closer
Luka Doncic is getting closer to a return with his wrist injury. He hasn’t been ruled out of tonight’s game against the Blazers just yet.
But even if he doesn’t play, the Mavericks have still added 117.9 points per 100 possessions with a 56% effective field goal percentage and only 13.1% of turnovers.
The Mavericks should also destroy on the offensive glass, especially since Portland has allowed 33.1% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
I wouldn’t even be surprised if the Mavericks earned a high rate of foul shots. While Dallas isn’t getting to the line at a crazy high rate, the Blazers are fouling at a crazy high rate.
Portland Is Doomed
The Portland Trail Blazers have been one of the worst offenses in the NBA, scoring 106.7 points per 100 possessions. The team has also hit only a 49.8% effective field goal percentage and has turned the ball over 16.9% of the time.
They’ll add a couple of offensive rebounds, but that won’t be enough against a Dallas defense that has held teams to 110.6 points per 100 possessions. Let’s ride the Mavericks at -7 with or without Doncic.
NBA Pick: Mavericks -7 (-110) at Bet365
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
Sunday, December 01, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
Our AI Model suggests taking the Kings at -5.5 against the Spurs tonight. Ultimately, the model likes the Kings to win by six, but Bet365 has the Kings at -5.5 against the spread.
Spurs Could Struggle Tonight
The San Antonio Spurs have only added 112.8 points per 100 possessions. That’s only 20th in the NBA.
They’ve done well taking good quality looks and getting to the foul line. However, the Spurs have added just 26.4% of offensive rebounds.
That’s not ideal, especially when the Kings have allowed just 25.4% of offensive rebounds themselves.
With the turnover rate likely to be high, the Spurs aren’t looking great offensively.
More Potential for the Kings
Sacramento has scored 115.3 points per 100 possessions. That’s a much better rate than the Spurs.
While the Spurs should at least slow down the Kings at the foul line, Sacramento should win the turnover battle and will likely add more offensive rebounds in this game. After all, the Spurs have allowed 28.8% of offensive rebounds per game this season. The AI Model likes the Kings, and so do I.
NBA Pick: Kings -5.5 (-110) at Bet365
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Sunday, December 01, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model thinks the Nuggets will add a 113-111 win against the Clippers on the road. However, Los Angeles is a 2.5-point underdog. If you add 2.5 to the Clippers’ projected score, they’d be the winners.
Denver Can Be Stopped
The Denver Nuggets have a supreme offense. The team has scored 117.7 points per 100 possessions with a 55.5% effective field goal percentage.
Ultimately, the Nuggets rank in the top 12 in all major offensive categories.
The Clippers rank in the top 15 in all major defensive categories. Los Angeles has held teams to just 23.9% of offensive rebounds and has limited opponents to only 108.6 points per 100 possessions.
The Clippers are one of the only defenses capable of stopping the Nuggets.
Second Chances Could Be the Difference
The Clippers score only 110.9 points per 100 possessions, but they’ll be able to add possessions against the Nuggets.
The Clippers have earned 29% of offensive rebounds, while the Nuggets have allowed 29% of offensive rebounds. With more second chances, you’d like to think the Clippers will earn more possessions and take more shots. I’ll ride the Clippers as the home underdog in this one.
NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 (-110) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
