It’s the final day of the NBA Cup Group Play stage. After tonight, we’ll know which teams have advanced to the quarterfinals of the NBA Cup, which will be played next week. That said, we asked the AI Model for its best bets for tonight’s action. Check it all out below. Don’t miss out on any action at the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Kings -1 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Nuggets -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Trail Blazers-Clippers Over 218 (-110) at Bet365
Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings
Tuesday, December 03, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model likes the Sacramento Kings to defeat the Houston Rockets by three tonight. However, the Kings are just -1 at Bet365.
Houston’s Still Struggling to Make Shots
The Houston Rockets have shot an effective field goal percentage of just 50.5% this season, ranking 28th in the NBA. However, they have scored 114.9 points per 100 possessions, ranking 10th in the NBA.
That’s mostly due to the offensive rebounds won by the Rockets. However, the Kings have allowed just 25.3% of offensive rebounds, so it’s unlikely the Rockets will dominate on the glass and earn extra possessions and points.
The Kings Will Get to the Line a Lot
The Sacramento Kings figure to get to the foul line at a high rate. Ultimately, the Kings have added a 21.4 free throw rate, while the Rockets have allowed a 20.6% free throw rate.
The Rockets have held teams to a low effective field goal percentage and just 106 points per 100 possessions.
However, I’d expect the Kings to be more comfortable and make more shots at home. They’re good at keeping turnovers down and still get offensive rebounds occasionally. I’ll back the Kings at -1 with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Kings -1 (-110) at Bet365
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
Tuesday, December 03, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena
Our AI Model thinks the Nuggets will add a six-point win over the Warriors tonight. That would be ideal, especially since Bet365 only has the Nuggets at -4.5. Grab the Nuggets at home against the spread.
Can the Warriors Do Enough on Offense?
The Golden State Warriors have only scored 113.7 points per 100 possessions. That ranks 15th in the NBA. Ultimately, the Warriors aren’t good at getting to the foul line. But they’ll still likely add a bunch of offensive rebounds.
However, the more offensive rebounds won, the more shots were missed. The Warriors have only shot a 54.1% effective field goal percentage this year. That’s probably not good enough.
Denver’s More Consistent
While the Warriors have an elite defense, the Nuggets are still more consistent offensively. Denver should get to the foul line at will and have scored 118 points per 100 possessions. Even if this rate drops a little, the Nuggets should still be able to escape with a victory.
They’re a top-12 team in all major offensive categories. That’s elite stuff. Grab the Nuggets at -4.5.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Tuesday, December 03, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model thinks the Blazers and Clippers will score 219 points in tonight’s game. However, Bet365’s total is only 218. That means the over is the best play.
Portland’s Second Chance Opportunities
The Portland Trail Blazers have been one of the worst offenses this season. However, they’ve been able to at least add more second chances with 32.1% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
The Blazers stuck with Dallas last time, adding 131 in a 137-131 loss. They’ve also been involved in four straight games where one team scored at least 115.
If that happens in this game, it’ll be more than enough to get over the total.
The Clippers Should Win the Offensive Glass, Too
The Los Angeles Clippers already have a higher effective field goal percentage. In addition, Los Angeles should be able to increase the rate of offensive rebounds.
After all, Los Angeles has added 29% of offensive rebounds, while the Blazers have given up 32.8%.
Both teams should end up with a lot of second-chance points. That’ll help hit the Over.
NBA Pick: Over 218 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
