There are only four games on tonight’s NBA slate. However, there’s still value according to our AI Model. Here are three best bets for tonight’s action.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Knicks vs. Pacers and Grizzlies vs. Suns games!
Picks Summary
- Knicks (-135)
- Pistons-Bulls Under 238.5 (-110)
- Grizzlies ML (-175)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – 07:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The AI Model believes the Knicks will add a two-point win on the road over the Pacers tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks are -135 via Bet365. There’s value in the Knicks via the moneyline.
The Knicks Should Dominate On Offense!
The Knicks have added a 57% effective field goal percentage and rank second in the NBA in points per 100 possessions this season.
The Knicks are above average in every significant offensive category and should take advantage of the Pacers, who rank 19th in defensive effective field goal percentage, 17th in defensive rebounding, and 19th in defensive free-throw rate.
The Pacers Won’t Do The Little Things
The Indiana Pacers have shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%. Like the Knicks, they’ll get good looks and limit turnovers.
However, the Pacers won’t be nearly as good on the offensive glass and likely won’t get to the foul line as much.
The Pacers rank 29th in offensive rebounding and 20th in free throw rate. Compare that to the Knicks, and it’s unlikely the Pacers win those two areas.
The Knicks won’t win this game if the Pacers don’t do the little things. Plus, after a deflating loss to the Celtics, they will undoubtedly look to regroup.
Follow the AI Model and back the Knicks on the moneyline.
NBA Pick: Knicks (-135) at Bet365
Detroit Pistons vs. Chicago Bulls
Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at United Center
The AI Model suggests te Pistons and Bulls will combine for 238 points. However, the total is stuck at 238.5. That means the Under has some value heading into tonight’s matchup.
Limited Foul Shots For Detroit
The Pistons rank 15th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. Detroit’s offense isn’t terrible. However, the Pistons have only added a 17.9 free-throw rate and a 54.2% effective field goal percentage.
The Pistons also turn the ball over 15.4% of the time. They’re best when adding offensive rebounds. That said, the Bulls have limited teams to 26.6% of offensive rebounds.
There won’t be as many second chances for the Pistons in this game. That’ll hurt them.
The Bulls Won’t Get Second Chances, Either
The Chicago Bulls have scored fewer points per 100 possessions than the Pistons. Chicago has added a higher effective field goal percentage but is also dead last in free throw rate.
Beyond that, the Bulls rank 28th in offensive rebounding. The second chances won’t be there for the Pistons, especially since Detroit ranks third in the NBA in defensive rebounding.
Roll with the Under 238.5.
NBA Pick: Under 238.5 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model predicts the Grizzlies will get by the Suns with a 123-120 win. That said, you can still find the Grizzlies at -175 on the moneyline. That’s a good price!
Phoenix Can Fall Below .500 With a Loss
The Phoenix Suns won’t have Bradley Beal tonight. Meanwhile, Kevin Durant missed the last game with an ankle injury.
Nothing is going right for the Suns this year.
The offense still ranks 13th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. The Suns have shot a 56% effective field goal percentage and frequently get to the foul line.
The Suns will likely still get to the foul line at a high rate. But don’t expect the Suns to nail a bunch of shots, especially since the Grizzlies rank second in the NBA in defensive effective field goal percentage.
The Suns Are Not Consistent Defensively!
The Phoenix Suns tried to add Nick Richards and boost the defense. However, it’s still 27th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions defensively.
The Suns have added just 12.6% of turnovers, which isn’t good since the Grizzlies typically give up 16%.
If the Suns can’t force turnovers, their defense will be let down. The Grizzlies are terrific on the offensive glass and should also have no problem getting to the foul line against the Suns.
Buy the Grizzlies at -175 NBA odds.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies ML (-175) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
