There’s so much value on tonight’s NBA betting board. Therefore, I went straight to the AI Model and asked for its best three plays. Here it goes!
Picks Summary
- Pelicans +7 (-110) at Bet365
- Timberwolves-Jazz Over 226 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Lakers +4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns
Friday, February 28, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model believes the Pelicans will only lose by five points to the Suns tonight. However, New Orleans is still +7 against the spread via Bet365. We’ll totally take those odds.
Zion Williamson Is Him!
Zion Williamson missed so many games in his career that we’ve all forgotten just how talented he is. Williamson is coming off a triple-double and is apparently the lowest he’s weighed since he joined the NBA.
Oh, and by the way, the Pelicans are on a three-game winning streak while holding their last three opponents to no more than 116 points.
The Pelicans are improving and could wreck other teams’ playoff chances down the line.
The Pelicans outshot the Suns last night and turned the ball over just six times. That should stay true in tonight’s game.
New Orleans Is Better Defensively Now
The Pelicans suffered many injuries earlier this season, which hurt their chances of winning early on.
However, the Pelicans are an entirely different team with Zion Williamson, playing much better defense and scoring at a higher rate.
The Suns have earned only 24.5% of offensive rebounds and likely won’t add many second chances. After all, they only added 14 offensive rebounds last night, which was two fewer than the Pelicans.
Grab the Pelicans at +7.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +7 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz
Friday, February 28, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model suggests the Timberwolves and Jazz will combine for 228 points. However, the total is currently at 226 via Caesars. The Over is super appealing and has a lot of value tonight.
Utah Can’t Defend!
The Utah Jazz rank 28th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions defensively. They’ve also allowed a 55.3% effective field goal percentage and have earned the lowest turnover rate in the NBA.
Meanwhile, Minnesota’s offense isn’t elite, but it’s getting healthier and has scored 115 points per 100 possessions.
Sometimes turnovers can get high, but against Utah, that likely won’t be the case.
Can Utah Take Advantage Of The Offensive Glass?
The Utah Jazz have only scored 111.8 points per 100 possessions. That’s nothing to get excited about. However, the Jazz have still added 30.8% of offensive rebounds and a 20.1 free throw rate.
They’ll get second chances and foul shots in tonight’s game. In addition, they’ve turned the ball over 17.3% of the time, so it’s likely Minnesota can take advantage on the other end with transition points.
Consider the Over at -110 NBA odds in tonight’s ball game.
NBA Pick: Over 226 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Friday, February 28, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model predicts the Clippers will earn a 112-110 win over the Lakers on the road. However, the Lakers are +4.5 against the spread. They’d still cover in this scenario.
Watch The Turnovers!
The Los Angeles Clippers have scored just 112.1 points per 100 possessions this season. That’s 21st in the NBA, and it’s due to a slightly below-effective field goal percentage and high turnover percentage.
Meanwhile, the Lakers have limited teams to 113.4 points per 100 possessions and have held opponents to a 53.8% effective field goal percentage.
The Clippers typically get to the foul line at an above-average rate. But that could change against the Lakers, who rank fifth in the NBA in free-throw rate defensively.
More Foul Shots For The Lakers
The Los Angeles Clippers have a very good defense, holding teams to 110.2 points per 100 possessions. They’ve dominated the defensive glass and allowed 25.6% of offensive rebounds per game.
That’ll continue against a Lakers team that isn’t getting many offensive rebounds in the first place.
However, the Lakers rank No. 1 in the NBA in free throw rate and should get there a whole lot more than the Clippers.
That will likely be the difference in this game and allow the Lakers to escape with a cover. Back the Lakers at +4.5.
NBA Pick: Lakers +4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
