Tonight’s seven-game slate features some quality matchups. I used the AI Model to determine the best bets for tonight’s action. Here’s what it came up with.
Picks Summary
- Raptors-Bulls Over 236 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Spurs +4 (-110) at Bet365
- Timberwolves-Nuggets Under 232.5 (-110) at Bet365
Toronto Raptors vs. Chicago Bulls
Tuesday, April 01, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at United Center
The AI Model thinks the Raptors and Bulls will combine for 237 points. However, the total is currently sitting at 236 via Caesars. The Over has the value in this game.
The Raptors Are Balling!
Many fans likely wanted the Raptors to lose. However, Toronto has won four straight games and scored at least 108 points in all of them.
On the other hand, Toronto is facing a Bulls defense that just allowed the Thunder 145 points last night.
The Bulls are likely even more fatigued and could play even worse on defense tonight.
After all, the Bulls rank 20th in points per 100 possessions on defense. They’ve also added just 12% of turnovers per game, which is second-to-last in the NBA.
The Raptors have areas that they can exploit.
The Bulls Must Improve In Two Areas
The Bulls have not been efficient on the offensive glass or at getting to the foul line. But that can change tonight.
Toronto ranks 23rd in offensive rebounds allowed and 29th in defensive free throw rate. Ultimately, the Bulls aren’t good in either of those spots, but if there’s any time to be good at these areas, it’s tonight.
Don’t be surprised if the Bulls succeed more in these areas than we’re used to.
For that reason, I’m on the Over 236 in this game. You can thank the AI Model when this bet smashes!
NBA Pick: Over 236 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Orlando Magic vs. San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, April 01, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at Frost Bank Center
The AI Model suggests the Spurs will lose to the Magic, 111-108. Yet, the Spurs are +4 against the spread at home. It’d be wise to listen to the AI Model and take the Spurs at +4.
Orlando’s Offense Is Too Inconsistent
The Orlando Magic have added 109.7 points per 100 possessions while shooting a 51% effective field goal percentage.
The Magic have also turned the ball over nearly 15% of the time. Ultimately, they’re good at getting to the foul line, but that will be hard against a Spurs team that ranks third in the NBA in defensive free throw rate.
Can The Spurs Get To The Foul Line More?
Usually, the Spurs are weak at getting to the foul line. But if there were ever a time, it’d be tonight.
The Magic rank dead last in the NBA in defensive free-throw rate. Getting the Spurs to the foul line more often could result in more points.
Plus, the Magic are usually good at forcing turnovers, but the Spurs are a top-ten team in limiting turnovers. If San Antonio can keep turnovers down and become a bit more aggressive, I like the Spurs’ chances of winning this game outright.
Let’s roll with the Spurs at +4 at home.
NBA Pick: Spurs +4 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
Tuesday, April 01, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena
The AI Model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets will score 231 points in tonight’s late-night showdown. However, the total is currently 232.5 at most sportsbooks. The Under is the valuable play here.
Minnesota Matches Up Well!
There are few defenses that can stop the potent Nuggets, but the Timberwolves are one of them.
Minnesota has limited teams to 111.3 points per 100 possessions and an effective field goal percentage of 53.3%.
In addition, teams have added only 27.7% of offensive rebounds against Minnesota, and the Timberwolves have added more than 15% of turnovers.
For context, the Nuggets scored just 95 points at home against Minnesota back on March 13 for context.
Minnesota Can’t Get To The Foul Line Enough
The Nuggets have easily been the worst defense this season. However, the Nuggets have at least forced teams to just a 17.5 free throw rate. The Timberwolves like to get to the foul line a lot, but it’s unlikely that’ll be the case against the Nuggets.
Consider the Under 232.5 in this game.
NBA Pick: Under 232.5 (-110) at Bet365
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