The final week of the NBA season is typically a mess. So many players sit out the remainder of the season, whether eliminated or made it into the playoffs. Therefore, I used the AI Model to assist in finding the best value in tonight’s NBA slate. Here are three best bets that you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Lakers vs. Mavericks and Nuggets vs. Kings games!
Picks Summary
- Pistons -3.5 (-110)
- Brook Lopez Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons
Thursday, April 10, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Little Caesars Arena
The AI Model predicts the Pistons will add a four-point win over the Knicks tonight. Meanwhile, you can find the Pistons at -3.5 against the spread. Detroit has the edge, according to the AI Model.
The Knicks Won’t Have Key Players!
The New York Knicks will sideline Mitchell Robinson, OG Anunoby and Josh Hart tonight. Those three have minor injuries that they’ll rest up ahead of the playoffs.
Overall, that’ll hurt the Knicks on offense. The Knicks rank 5th in points per 100 possessions this season, but that number figures to decline, especially against the Pistons. After all, the Pistons rank 9th in the NBA in defensive points per 100 possessions. They’ve been really good on that end of the floor, except for the high fouls.
Still, the Knicks aren’t super aggressive, where they get to the foul line at a high rate.
Can The Pistons Win On The Glass?
The Detroit Pistons aren’t as consistent offensively. However, as long as Cade Cunningham and Tobias Harris are in the lineup, the offense will be just fine. The Pistons have added over 29% of offensive rebounds and should continue to find success on the offensive glass tonight.
The Knicks have also allowed an effective field goal percentage of 55%. Their defense hasn’t been great, especially in forcing bad shots.
The Pick
Take the Pistons at -3.5.
NBA Pick: Pistons -3.5 (-110) at Bet365
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, April 10, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at Fiserv Forum
The AI Model believes Brook Lopez of the Bucks will earn 24.06 points + rebounds + assists in tonight’s game against the Pelicans. Meanwhile, Lopez only has a line of 18.5. The Over is one of the best plays you’ll find tonight.
The Pelicans Can’t Stop Lopez!
Brook Lopez has added at least 19 points + rebounds + assists in only 49% of games this season. However, he’s hit this line in four of his last five games and has nailed this line in four of his last five games against the Pelicans.
Ultimately, he’s taking on a Pelicans defense that ranks:
- 24th in points allowed to centers.
- 29th in rebounds allowed to centers.
- 30th in assists allowed to centers.
This is a center’s dream matchup in the NBA. The Pelicans have struggled to defend centers in every way. Meanwhile, Lopez has earned 34 minutes a night over the last ten games. He’s also added 9.1 rebound chances per game during the previous ten games.
The Pick
Ride with Lopez to add at least 18.5 points + rebounds + assists.
NBA Pick: Brook Lopez Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110) at Bet365
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Thursday, April 10, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at FedExForum
The AI Model predicts Nickeil Alexander-Walker will earn 17.7 Points + Rebounds + Assists. Yet, his current line is only at 12.5. The Over is where the value is.
An Insane Matchup for Nickeil Alexander-Walker!
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has earned at least 12.5 points + rebounds + assists in 63% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in eight of 11 head-to-head matchups against the Grizzlies and has earned at least 13 points + rebounds + assists in eight of his last ten games.
Ultimately, he failed to hit this line against the Bucks on April 8. However, he’s got a much better matchup tonight. He’s in line to face a Memphis defense that ranks 23rd in the NBA in points allowed to shooting guards this season. The Grizzlies have allowed the highest three-point shooting percentage from shooting guards this season.
Meanwhile, Walker has hit at least two threes in eight of his last ten games. In addition, the Grizzlies rank 26th in assists allowed to shooting guards and only 14th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards. Alexander-Walker should be all over the box score tonight.
The Pick
Give Nickeil Alexander-Walker a shot tonight.
NBA Pick: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
