Although the Eastern Conference Playoff Picture is all set, the Western Conference Playoff Picture still has some wiggle room ahead of today’s games. Using the AI Model, we’ll add a few EV plays for the games that matter below.
Picks Summary
- Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 Points (-125)
- Christian Braun Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)
- Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Points (-112)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at Chase Center
The AI Model thinks Derrick Jones Jr. will score 10.6 points in today’s game against the Warriors. Meanwhile, his points total is stuck at 7.5 at the top-rated sportsbooks. Clearly, the Over has some value.
Derrick Jones Jr. Has Potential!
The Clippers’ power forward has earned at least eight points in 71% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in six of his last ten and 75% of his last 20 games this season.
The Clippers and Warriors figure to play in a low-scoring game. However, eight points from Jones won’t change a low-scoring game to a high-scoring game.
He’s attempted about three three-pointers per game over the last ten games. That’s significant despite him only making 30.1% from the deep over that span. After all, the Warriors rank 29th in three-point shooting percentage to small forwards this season. The Warriors also rank 28th in field goal percentage allowed to small forwards this year.
Additionally, Jones Jr. has scored at least 11 points in four of his last ten games and has the potential to score double digits almost every time he’s on the floor.
The Pick
Side with the AI Model and take Derrick Jones Jr. to add at least eight points in today’s Warriors-Clippers game.
NBA Pick: Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 Points (-125) at Bet365
Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at Toyota Center
The AI Model believes Christian Braun will earn 24.4 points + rebounds + assists against the Rockets tonight. However, his total is currently only at 21.5. The Over is certainly the play on Braun’s PRA line.
Christian Braun Is In Line For a Big Role!
The Nuggets are looking to improve their playoff position today. They’ll play hard against a Rockets team that doesn’t benefit from today’s game at all.
That should help Christian Braun be effective. Braun has earned at least 22 points + rebounds + assists in eight of his last ten games. He’s also hit this line in four of his last five games and 56% of total games this season.
He’ll battle a Rockets team that could end up playing a lot of backups. Houston is already poor at limiting rebounds from shooting guards, but it could be worse overall defensively in many areas with backups out there for most of the game.
I’ll trust Braun to at least earn his averages today.
The Pick
Let’s roll with Braun to add at least 21.5 points + rebounds + assists.
NBA Pick: Christian Braun Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115) at Bet365
Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, April 13, 2025 – 03:30 PM EDT at Target Center
The AI Model predicts Rudy Gobert will score 19.068 points in today’s game for the Timberwolves against the Utah Jazz. Yet, his line is currently only at 12.5. The Over is one of the best plays you’ll find using the AI Model today.
Can Rudy Gobert Continue Hot Streak?
The Minnesota center has added at least 13 points in nine of his last ten games. He also just scored 35 points in his latest game against the Brooklyn Nets.
Gobert has shot 78.2% from the field in the last ten games. He’s also added more than five free throw attempts per game while attempting at least ten field goal attempts in nine of his last ten games.
Additionally, he’ll battle a Utah defense that ranks 28th in points allowed to centers this season. The Jazz rank 16th in field goal percentage allowed to centers but also rank 27th in field goals made. Gobert should get a lot of opportunities to score against the Jazz in today’s must-win game for Minnesota to stay out of the play-in tournament.
The Pick
Ride Gobert’s Over 12.5 points prop today.
NBA Pick: Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Points (-112) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
