We’ve got another ten-game slate in the NBA tonight. After reviewing each game and using the AI Model for help, I’ve added three best bets for tonight’s slate below.
Picks Summary
- Pelicans +3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Suns +9.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Spurs vs. Clippers Over 227.5 (-110) at Bet365
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Brooklyn Nets
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Barclays Center
The AI Model predicts the Nets will defeat the Pelicans by one point at home. However, the Pelicans are +3 against the spread via Caesars. Consider the Pelicans in this game.
Who Can Tank More?
The Pelicans and the Nets are both in tank mode. They will be looking for young players in this year’s draft.
Someone has to win this game, though. The Pelicans have added 29.3% of offensive rebounds and should be able to get to the foul line consistently.
After all, the Nets rank 22nd in defensive rebounding and 28th in defensive free-throw rate. The Pelicans should take advantage of those two areas to score more points.
The Nets Turn The Ball Over Too Much
The Brooklyn Nets already rank 28th in points per 100 possessions, thanks to a 51.9% effective field goal percentage. However, part of the problem is that the Nets have turned the ball over nearly 16% of the time.
If the Nets lose the rebounding battle and turn the ball over more while allowing more foul shots, the Pelicans should be able to escape and win.
The Pelicans can win this game outright, but we’ll play it safe and back the Pelicans at +3. The AI Model knows!
NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at PHX Arena
The AI Model suggests the Warriors will add an eight-point win over the Suns. However, the Suns have dropped to +9.5 against the spread. Phoenix is still competing for a Play-In spot and needs this game just as much as Golden State. The value is on Phoenix.
The Suns Can Still Compete Without Kevin Durant
The Phoenix Suns have lost six straight games. If the season ended today, the Suns wouldn’t even be in the Play-In Tournament.
In addition, Kevin Durant is out and injured and won’t be available just yet.
Still, the Suns should be able to score at a good enough rate to cover. After all, the Warriors foul slightly above average, and the Suns get to the foul line at an above-average rate. Scoring points with the time stopped always helps.
The Warriors Won’t Be Effective On The Glass
The Golden State Warriors mainly take advantage of teams on the offensive glass. They’ve earned 30% of offensive rebounds per game, which is the only area they’ve been above average this season.
That said, the Suns have limited teams to 27.7% of offensive rebounds and should limit the Warriors’ ability to add second-chance points.
Take the Suns at +9.5.
NBA Pick: Suns +9.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Tuesday, April 08, 2025 – 10:30 PM EDT at Intuit Dome
The AI Model predicts that the Clippers and Spurs will combine for 228 points. Meanwhile, the total at Bet365 is currently 227.5. The over is the play in this game.
The Spurs Have Struggled On Defense
The San Antonio Spurs have allowed at least 114 points in four of their last five games. The defense has allowed 117.8 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 25th in the NBA.
That’s a result of the Spurs allowing a 55.8% effective field goal percentage with 29.7% of offensive rebounds allowed.
Ultimately, the Clippers’ offense isn’t the most efficient. Yet, Los Angeles has shot a 55.5% effective field goal percentage, which ranks 12th in the NBA.
The Clippers should take advantage of some open looks in this game.
Does Anyone Remember The Last Head-To-Head Game?
The Spurs fell to the Clippers, 128-116, at home back in January. The Clippers used a late push to get by the Spurs on the road and scored at least 29 points in every single quarter.
There’s no reason why the Clippers can’t do that again in this game. If the Spurs hit their averages and stick around, this game should get over the total.
Grab the Over 227.5 in this game.
NBA Pick: Over 227.5 (-110) at Bet365
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