Let’s start the weekend off right with three NBA best bets using our AI Model. It’s been hot all week at the top-rated sportsbooks, so let’s hope it can stay hot heading into the weekend.
Picks Summary
- Pistons +4.5 (-110)
- Raptors/Thunder Over 230.5 (-110
- Suns -9 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons
Friday, February 07, 2025 – 07:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena
The AI Model thinks the Pistons will only lose to the 76ers by two points at home. However, the Pistons are +4.5 against the spread.
Don’t Sleep On Detroit!
The Detroit Pistons have defended at an above-average rate this season. The defense has limited teams to 114.4 points per 100 possessions. Ultimately, opponents have grabbed just 26.1% of offensive rebounds against the Pistons this season.
Meanwhile, the 76ers have played better lately but have still shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.3%, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. The 76ers are too inconsistent for my liking on offense.
The Pistons Match Up Better!
The Pistons have shot a 54.3% effective field goal percentage, bringing down 29.3% of offensive rebounds. These are two key stats, especially since the 76ers rank 30th in defensive effective field goal percentage and 28th in defensive rebounding.
Look for the Pistons to take advantage of those two areas and potentially knock off the 76ers at home as underdogs.
The Pick
Let’s ride with the AI Model and take the Pistons at +4.5.
NBA Pick: Pistons +4.5 (-110) at Bet365
Toronto Raptors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Friday, February 07, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Paycom Center
The AI Model believes the Raptors and Thunder will combine for 231 points. Meanwhile, the total for this game is 230.5. That means the over is the play heading into tonight’s matchup.
Toronto Needs To Dominate The Glass!
The Toronto Raptors won’t get the easiest looks in this game. After all, the Thunder rank first in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense and have earned 18.6% of turnovers. There would be a bunch of turnovers in this game from the Raptors. But in retrospect, that could lead to Oklahoma City fast-break points.
Meanwhile, when the Raptors are able to get shots up, they’ll be effective on the glass. The Raptors have gained 29.5% of offensive rebounds per game, while the Thunder have allowed 29.5% of offensive rebounds. If Toronto can stay aggressive on the glass, they’ll have enough opportunities to put up points.
Easy Shot-Making For The Thunder
The Thunder are 40-9 on the season. They’re one of the best teams in the NBA and it’s not just because of their defense.
Oklahoma City has added a 55.7% effective field goal percentage with only 11.9% of turnovers. The Thunder should have no problems finding easy looks against the Toronto Raptors. Toronto ranks 26th in points per 100 possessions on defense and is weak on the defensive glass. The Raptors also foul at a super high rate.
The Pick
Let’s grab the Over in this NBA game.
NBA Pick: Raptors/Thunder Over 230.5 (-110) at Bet365
Utah Jazz vs. Phoenix Suns
Friday, February 07, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model predicts the Suns will win by nine points over the Jazz. Therefore, the best bet is to take the Suns at -9.
Utah Could Struggle With Turnovers
The Utah Jazz haven’t been the most successful offense in the NBA this season. They’ve only scored 111.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 22nd in the NBA.
Meanwhile, the Suns have added just 12.7% of turnovers per game this season. Yet that can change, given that the Jazz have given up 17.5% of turnovers per game. Careless mistakes and errors will cost the Jazz.
On the other hand, the Jazz are typically good on the offensive glass. However, they will face a Suns defense that ranks 14th in the NBA in rebounding defense. The Suns can also limit the Jazz on the glass.
The Jazz Don’t Know How To Defend!
The Jazz look good offensively but not defensively. Utah ranks 28th in defensive points per 100 possessions and has allowed an effective field goal percentage of 55.2%.
The Suns should get a bunch of high-quality looks, and they are typically aggressive enough to get to the foul line. Meanwhile, the Jazz have also earned only 11.7% of turnovers. Don’t expect the Jazz to force a bunch of turnovers, either.
The Pick
Take the Suns at -9 at home.
NBA Pick: Suns -9 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
