The month of January flew by! That’s what happens when you’re winning and having fun with the AI Model at the top-rated sportsbooks! Let’s see if February can earn us the same result. Here are three NBA picks using the AI Model projections below.
Picks Summary
- Lakers/Knicks Over 225.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Spurs ML (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Suns ML (-170) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. New York Knicks
Saturday, February 01, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model believes the Lakers and Knicks will earn 227 points in tonight’s showdown on ABC. Meanwhile, the total is currently at 225.5. The Over is the play in this game.
The Lakers Can Still Score Without Anthony Davis
The Los Angeles Lakers won’t have Anthony Davis tonight due to an injury. However, the Lakers still have LeBron James and plenty of quality scorers like Austin Reaves.
The Lakers have also shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.3%, which ranks 12th. That’ll come into play since the Knicks have limited teams to just a 55% effective field goal percentage.
The Knicks haven’t been elite on the defensive end this year, but the Lakers can take advantage. In addition, the Lakers are the best offense at getting to the foul line. Points with the clock stopped always help the over.
The Knicks Are Super Hot!
The New York Knicks are one of the hottest offenses in the NBA. They’ve won their last three games with at least 122 points in each. The Knicks scored 143 points in two of those previous three games. It all makes sense, especially when you realize the Knicks are the No. 2 rated offense in the NBA, scoring 122 points per 100 possessions this season.
New York won’t turn the ball over often and continues to take really good shots from the field. The Knicks also should be able to limit turnovers, as the Lakers have only added 14% of turnovers per game this season.
The Pick
Consider the Over 225.5 in this Knicks-Lakers matchup in Madison Square Garden.
NBA Pick: Lakers/Knicks Over 225.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
Saturday, February 01, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center
The AI Model suggests the Spurs will escape the Heat, 114-112 at home. Yet, you can find the Spurs at -135 on the moneyline. That’s solid value for the home team.
Miami Won’t See The Foul Line Often!
The Miami Heat are an average offense, shooting a 54.1% effective field goal percentage. Miami should be able to limit turnovers, but it’s unlikely they’ll get to the foul line.
The Spurs certainly aren’t aggressive on defense. They don’t look to turn the ball over. Instead, they usually defend without fouling and keep teams in front of them. It’s worked, especially since the Spurs rank first in defensive free-throw rate. However, that could throw the Heat off a bit tonight.
The Spurs Can Do Better!
The San Antonio Spurs don’t have a much better matchup. However, they have scored at least 113.4 points per 100 possessions, which is slightly better than the Heat’s.
It also won’t help that Jimmy Butler is out. He’s been a slight distraction, as the Heat have lost two of their last three games.
The Pick
I’ll side with the Spurs at -135.
NBA Pick: Spurs ML (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook
Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Saturday, February 01, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Suns will add a 116-112 win over the Trail Blazers on the road. With a projected four-point win, taking the Suns on the moneyline at -170 is the best choice!
The Suns Will Be Aggressive!
The Phoenix Suns have scored 115.5 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 12th in the NBA. This shows that the Phoenix offense is slightly above average. It also helps that Portland ranks 26th in defensive points per 100 possessions. The defense has also allowed 31.6% of offensive rebounds and a 21.% free-throw rate.
Typically, the Suns aren’t dominant on the offensive glass. But that could certainly change against Phoenix. If the Suns make some adjustments and stay aggressive on the glass, they’ll easily earn more second chances and more foul shots.
Nothing To Worry About With Portland
Portland has only scored 110.2 points per 100 possessions. It’s unlikely the Blazers can stick around against the Suns, especially since the Suns have at least held opponents to a 54.1% effective field goal percentage.
Usually, the Blazers find a way on the offensive glass. However, the Suns have still limited teams to 27.7% of offensive rebounds.
The Pick
The Suns look good on paper tonight. Back them at -170.
NBA Pick: Suns ML (-170) at Bet365
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