Every single team in the NBA is playing tonight. With 15 games on the NBA slate, I’ve asked the AI Model for its thoughts on a few of the later matchups. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Trail Blazers/Nuggets Over 232.5 (-110)
- Mavericks +5.5 (-110)
- Clippers -4.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Ball Arena
The AI Model believes the Blazers and Nuggets will combine for 233 points. Meanwhile, the total is currently at 232.5. That means the Over has some value in this matchup.
Another Portland Collapse?
The Denver Nuggets just played the Portland Trail Blazers on February 10 and scored 146 points in a 146-117 win. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 40 points and helped the Nuggets shoot nearly 66% from the floor. The Nuggets added 18 foul shots and only eight three-pointers. Ultimately, Denver dominated inside the arc.
It makes sense since the Nuggets rank third in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. On the other hand, the Blazers still rank 25th. The Nuggets had no problems scoring in that game and should continue their offensive explosion in this one.
Portland Will Contribute!
The Nuggets should easily win tonight’s game. We’ll rely heavily on Denver to score points. However, the Blazers could help.
After all, the Blazers have still managed nearly 31% of offensive rebounds. The more second chances, the better. In addition, Denver doesn’t force many turnovers and has still allowed 115.4 points per 100 possessions.
That’s not elite.
The Pick
Take the Over 232.5 in this game and thank the AI Model when it hits!
NBA Pick: Trail Blazers/Nuggets Over 232.5 (-110) at Bet365
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center
The AI Model suggests that the Warriors will defeat the Mavericks by three points on the road. However, the Mavericks are +5.5 at most sportsbooks. Despite many significant injuries, the Mavericks are still fighting. Consider the Mavs against the spread.
Are The Mavericks Hopeless?
The Dallas Mavericks have been in the spotlight for all the wrong reasons lately. In a blockbuster deal, they traded Luka Doncic to the Lakers for Anthony Davis. However, Davis was injured in his first game with the Mavericks, and Daniel Gafford was injured in the following game.
Now, the Mavericks are without two bigs and a fanbase that has turned their back on them.
Still, that won’t stop them. Dallas has still held teams to a 53.3% effective field goal percentage and prides itself on the defensive end. Meanwhile, the Warriors have shot an effective field goal percenatge of 53.1%, which ranks 23rd in the NBA,
While the Warriors have played better since acquiring Jimmy Butler, Golden State will have matchup difficulties against teams with more size. Dallas has more size even without those two big men out there.
The Mavericks Must Stay Aggressive
The Dallas Mavericks have added 117.2 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 7th in the NBA. It’s certainly not easy to score against the Warriors. However, Golden State has still allowed a 20 free throw rate. That ranks 18th in the NBA.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks’ free-throw rate is 20.7, which is 4th in the NBA. If Dallas can stay aggressive and consistently get to the foul line, the Mavericks will be in great shape.
The Pick
Consider the Mavericks at +5.5.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +5.5 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model predicts the Clippers will add a 121-116 win over the Grizzlies tonight. That’s a five-point win, which would cover a 4.5-point spread. Ride the Clippers tonight!
Turnover Frenzy
The Memphis Grizzlies already turn the ball over 15.9% of the time. That ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, they’ll take on a Clippers defense that ranks 6th in the NBA in defensive turnovers.
The Grizzlies will likely turn the ball over many times in this game. Memphis just played last night and could be a bit fatigued after playing in the second game of a back-to-back. That also favors the Clippers, who have still held teams to just 109.6 points per 100 possessions this season.
Foul Shooting Is Key For The Clippers!
The Los Angeles Clippers also have a turnover problem. That could show in this game against a Grizzlies defense that ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive turnovers. However, the Clippers still rank inside the top 15 in free throw rate. That’s huge since they’ll take on a Memphis team that ranks 22nd in free throw rate on defense.
This game is expected to be a defensive battle. However, the team that gets to the foul line more often could win and cover. The Clippers look like the team that will do just that.
The Pick
Back the Clippers at -4.5.
NBA Pick: Clippers -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
