We’ve got one more night of regular-season NBA basketball before the All-Star break. Let’s make the most of it. Here are three bets that AI Model loves heading into tonight’s games.
Before placing your bets, let’s analyze the latest odds from top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more NBA picks, featuring the Warriors vs. Rockets and Heat vs. Mavericks games!
Picks Summary
- Mavericks +1.5 (-110)
- Timberwolves +7.5 (-110)
- Clippers/Jazz Over 225.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center
The AI Model believes the Dallas Mavericks will escape the Miami Heat by one point. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are actually underdogs at +1.5. Grab the Mavericks at that number.
Dallas Is Deep!
The Dallas Mavericks are missing many pieces after the Luka Doncic trade. They went after Anthony Davis, who got hurt in his first game with the team. In addition, Daniel Gafford suffered an injury, and Dereck Lively III isn’t available due to his injury.
But Dallas continues to win games despite all of that.
The defense has helped them immensely. Dallas has allowed a 53.2% effective field goal percentage and has not allowed a high free-throw rate, either.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks have still allowed a high offensive rebounding percentage, but Miami has grabbed only 25.1% of offensive rebounds. That checks out for Dallas.
The Mavericks Are Even Better On Offense!
It’s been the Kyrie Irving Show recently. He has scored at least 30 points in two consecutive games and has the Mavericks winning most games despite Doncic leaving.
Dallas still ranks 7th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. The Mavericks are also better at getting to the foul line and limiting turnovers to 14.1%.
Meanwhile, Miami’s defense is ranked in the top ten but stands out only for keeping teams off the foul line. Dallas can score in many different ways.
The Pick
Grab the Mavericks at +1.5.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +1.5 (-110) at Bet365
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Target Center
The AI Model suggests the Timberwolves will only lose to the Thunder by five points. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are +7.5 against the spread. Back the T-Wolves against the spread.
Minnesota Can Defend Well Enough!
The Oklahoma City Thunder are ranked as the No. 5 best offense in the NBA, scoring 119.8 points per 100 possessions.
The Thunder rank inside the top ten in effective field goal percentage and turnover percentage. However, the Thunder have only grabbed 27.3% of offensive rebounds with just a 17.8 free throw rate.
That’s not going to cut it, not against the Timberwolves, who have allowed only 27.8% of offensive rebounds and just a 17.6 free throw rate on defense.
The Timberwolves have also held teams to an effective field goal percentage of 53.1%. The Thunder will likely shoot worse than usual.
Minnesota Does The Little Things
Although the Timberwolves might not be able to shoot as well as the Thunder, they have added more offensive rebounds and a higher free-throw rate.
This is huge because the Thunder have allowed 29.5% of offensive rebounds and a 22.1 free-throw rate, which ranks 28th in the NBA.
If Minnesota wins in those two areas, they’ll easily be in this game with a chance to win outright.
The Pick
Let’s take a chance with the Timberwolves at +7.5.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7.5 (-110) at Bet365
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model predicts the Clippers and Jazz will combine for 226 points. However, the total is still only at 225.5. There’s some value on the Over.
Los Angeles Will Get Good Looks!
The Los Angeles Clippers should end up getting great looks against the Jazz. After all, the Jazz have allowed 118.9 points per 100 possessions while giving up a 55.5% effective field goal percentage.
Meanwhile, the Clippers are still slightly above average, with an effective field goal percentage of 54.6%. Los Angeles could also reduce turnovers more than usual. While the Clippers have given up 16.1% of turnovers, the Jazz rank dead last with only 11.6% per game.
With more quality looks and fewer turnovers, that should be helpful for the Clippers’ offense.
The Jazz Have Some Momentum!
The Utah Jazz scored 131 points in a 131-119 win over the Los Angeles Lakers last night. The entire starting five scored double-figures, and Keyonte George also added 20 points with ten assists and seven rebounds off the bench.
The offense still ranks 19th in effective field goal percentage, adding 31.1% of offensive rebounds. It’s not easy to grab offensive rebounds against the Clippers, but the Jazz should at least come away with a handful of second chances to earn more points.
The Pick
Ride with the Over 225.5 in this matchup.
NBA Pick: Over 225.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
