We’ve got another nine-game slate in the NBA tonight. Therefore, I went straight to the AI Model to find three best bets for tonight’s matchups. Take a glance at the best three bets below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Bulls +8.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Kings/Jazz Over 236.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Spurs +9.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Chicago Bulls
Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at United Center
The AI Model thinks the Clippers will earn a 119-111 win on the road against the Bulls. However, the Bulls are +8.5 against the spread and would still cover in this scenario.
The Clippers Are Not a Threat!
The Los Angeles Clippers have only scored 111.9 points per 100 possessions. This ranks 23rd in the NBA. Some of it is due to a high turnover percentage. Some of it is also the lack of offensive rebounds.
The Clippers are inconsistent in way too many areas on offense. Meanwhile, the Bulls have at least held teams to 26.7% of offensive rebounds and an 18.1 free throw rate. The Clippers won’t be able to do the little things in this game.
The Bulls Typically Take Better Shots
I’d rather back a team that takes better looks. The Bulls do that.
Chicago doesn’t get to the foul line much. The team is also weak on the offensive glass. But they’ll likely take better looks from the field. After all, the Bulls have added a 55.3% effective field goal percentage, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The team has also scored nearly 113 points per 100 possessions.
Los Angeles’ defense could force turnovers and hold the Bulls from getting many offensive rebounds. But there’s no way the Clippers should be as heavy favorites as they are.
The Pick
Give me the Bulls at +8.5 at home.
NBA Pick: Bulls +8.5 (-110) at Bet365
Sacramento Kings vs. Utah Jazz
Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model suggests the Jazz and Kings will combine for 237 points tonight. However, the total for tonight’s game is set at 236.5. The Over has some value here.
You Can Trust Utah’s Defense Tonight
The Utah Jazz have allowed 118.8 points per 100 possessions, which is 28th in the NBA. This is due to a high effective field goal percentage and low turnover percentage.
However, the Jazz have still limited offensive rebounds to 27.8% and allowed a 19.3 free-throw rate. These numbers are slightly above average defensively and should prevent the Kings from having a huge offensive game.
Utah’s Turnovers
The Utah Jazz don’t give themselves a chance sometimes. They have turned the ball over 17.4% of the time, the worst rate in the NBA. If they turn the ball over once every five possessions, it’ll be hard to score enough points to hit the over.
The Pick
Let’s ride with the AI Model and take the Under here.
NBA Pick: Kings/Jazz Over 236.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets
Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Toyota Center
The AI Model predicts the Rockets will add an eight-point win at home against the Spurs. However, the Spurs are +9.5. An eight-point loss would give the Spurs the cover here.
Few Foul Shots For The Rockets
The Houston Rockets have already shot a 51.8% effective field goal percentage. That’s 27th in the NBA right now. Ultimately, the offense has stayed afloat due to their 35.1% offensive rebounding rate. While that should continue tonight against the Spurs, don’t expect the Rockets to get to the foul line much.
The Spurs rank first in the NBA in defensive free throw rate. If the Spurs can hold the Rockets to a low effective field goal percentage and a low free throw rate, it’ll be hard for the Rockets to dominate the Spurs in this game.
The Spurs Need To Limit Turnovers
The Spurs’ offense has not been the most efficient this year. However, the team has held turnovers to 14.1%. That number needs to stick in tonight’s game against the Spurs. The fewer turnovers, the more opportunities to score.
Houston has held teams to 110.2 points per 100 possessions, so it will be crucial to limit turnovers. However, since the Rockets have gained just 14.8% of turnovers per game this season, I like the Spurs’ chances at doing that.
The Pick
Take the Spurs at +9.5.
NBA Pick: Spurs +9.5 (-110) at BetMGM
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
