There’s so much value on tonight’s NBA board with 11 games on the slate. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for some assistance. Here are three bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Pelicans +10.5 (-110)
- Suns/Thunder Over 226.5 (-110
- Kings -5.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook(check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Ball Arena
The AI Model thinks the Nuggets will win by ten points over the New Orleans Pelicans. However, the Pelicans are +10.5 against the spread, so they would still cover in this scenario.
New Orleans Needs To Continue To Limit Turnovers
The New Orleans Pelicans have shot a 51.4% effective field goal percentage. That doesn’t usually help win games. However, the Pelicans should still be able to limit turnovers and win on the offensive glass.
The Pelicans have only turned the ball over 14.3% of the time. On the other hand, the Nuggets have added just 13.4% of turnovers. Additionally, the Pelicans have recorded 29% of offensive rebounds, while the Nuggets have given up 28.3%. Those are two areas where the Pelicans can keep themselves in the game.
Limit Denver At The Foul Line!
The Denver Nuggets are one of the best-scoring teams in the NBA. They’ll get open looks all game and should even be dominant on the offensive glass. However, the Pelicans have held teams to just an 18.2 free throw rate.
If New Orleans can keep Denver away from the foul line more consistently, the Pelicans can at least stick around in this one.
The Pick
Grab the Pelicans at +10.5 using our AI Model’s projections.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Paycom Center
The AI Model believes the Thunder and Suns will combine for 227 points. However, you can find the total at 226.5. That means the Over has some value heading into tonight’s showdown.
Will The Suns Score Without Kevin Durant?
Kevin Durant will likely miss tonight’s game with a sprained ankle. This isn’t good news, considering the Thunder currently ranks No. 1 in the NBA in many defensive metrics.
That said, the Thunder have still allowed 29.7% of offensive rebounds and have given up a 21.8 free throw rate. These are two areas where the Suns could still find success and put up a solid chunk of points. It won’t help that Durant is out, but Phoenix still has plenty of elite scorers like Devin Booker on the roster.
The Suns Don’t Defend!
The Suns simply don’t defend. Phoenix has allowed 116.4 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 26th in the NBA.
They’re not giving up many quality looks. Instead, Phoenix has struggled to force turnovers. Fewer turnovers mean more shots, which means more points.
The Pick
Let’s back the Over 226.5 in this game.
NBA Pick: Suns/Thunder Over 226.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Orlando Magic vs. Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model predicts the Kings will earn a seven-point victory, 114-107, against the Orlando Magic at home tonight. Meanwhile, you can find the Kings at just -5.5 against the spread. Take the Kings here.
The Magic Have Struggled To Score!
The Orlando Magic have added 108 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 29th in the NBA. Also, Magic ranks dead last in the NBA regarding effective field goal percentage.
Orlando has had some success on the offensive glass but will take on a Kings team that ranks fifth in limiting offensive rebounds. The only edge the Magic have is at the foul line since the Kings have allowed a 20.6 free throw rate this season.
Still, it’s hard to rely solely on free throws to keep you in games.
Zach LaVine’s Debut
The Sacramento Kings found themselves in a blockbuster trade that ultimately sent De’Aaron Fox to the Spurs and brought in Zach LaVine from the Bulls.
LaVine will make his debut tonight for the Kings. He’ll provide more scoring ability. With the Kings already ranking 8th in the NBA in scoring, LaVine could help improve the offense even more.
Don’t expect the Kings to dominate the glass, but Sacramento should also be able to match the Magic at the foul line while shooting better from the field.
The Pick
Let’s roll with the Kings at -5.5
NBA Pick: Kings -5.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
